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alaya lilly
bitcoin:native correction history:
2011: -93%
2015: -87%
2017: -83%
2021: -78%
2026: -54% 👀
Diminishing volatility returns implies a cycle low in the $40k–$48k area if the pattern holds:
60% drop ≈ $50,500
65% drop ≈ $44,200
68% drop ≈ $40,400
The cycle is not yet complete on the historical 12–14 month peak-to-trough clock, so a further move lower remains possible if the prior rhythm continues.
This is why I currently hedge and I’m still not all in…
#bitcoin #btc #crypto
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