Many people screaming: '$XPL is a SCAM'
But they just overlook obvious whale game
They ran same playbook on $PUMP & $HYPE
Here's the pattern whales use to manipulate new launches🧵👇
âž® Before we begin, could I ask you a favor?
☩ I've invested a lot of time into this research and truly value any interaction you've had with this thread!
☩ Please bookmark, retweet, or simply give it a like if you can
1/âž® Each cycle has different periods with exact narratives take off where you can make huge profit
☩ Imo we have a clear ICO narrative right now
☩ You see tons of 5-figs profit screens on CT feed, but somehow majority still lose money on it
Here's why👇
3/➮ The problem is that most people lose because they don’t fully understand ICOs and launch patterns
☩ In this thread, I’ll break down some of the latest hyped ICOs to show you exactly why it works this way
Let’s dive in👇
4/➮ You’ve probably noticed how similar charts look right after launch
☩ $XPL, $HYPE, $PUMP, literally identical at the start
Why does this happen?
☩ Let’s take one of the most hyped launches, which many even call the best case of 2025, $XPL
5/âž® Just a week before launch, everyone was worshipping the project, expecting insane upside and profit
☩ After launch, CT went from idolizing to burying it and a bunch of FUD
This happens every single time, and here’s why👇
6/âž® Firstly, let's clarify that the project doesn't profit from dumping the price instantly
☩ That’s why they push the price higher - so ICO participants could have imaginary Xs
☩ It creates FOMO and makes those who missed the sale want to buy at highs
What happens next?
6/âž® Then presale buyers, team, and devs start partially taking profits, while those who bought post-TGE get rekt
☩ They think they’re buying the dip, but eventually it never ends
Then comes the most important part that gives you an actual edge👇
8/âž® One more tip:
☩ It’s also crucial to always check the unlock schedule of every sale participant
This affects how the pattern will play out
☩ If public sale has 100% unlocked at TGE, the chart will look exactly like $XPL or $PUMP
9/âž® $PUMP - ideal pattern example
☩ Huge hype -> expectations of massive profit -> dump -> FUD
☩ After some time, FUD cooled down and $PUMP recovered, breaking a new ATH
Basically, perfectly followed it
☩ But it’s important that not everyone follows this pattern
12/âž® How to trade
☩ Ideally, you should buy new launches like $XPL, $PUMP only after the hype has cooled down
☩ By that time, retails who aped after the TGE pump have already lost money
☩ And as I mentioned, that’s usually when the real bottom forms
13/âž® One more great option is Short
☩ It’s way riskier, cause projects can pump/dump much harder than you expect (liquidating you and continuing real move)
Pattern I usually look for short:
☩ TGE pump -> 1st pullback -> 2nd pump -> new ATH (possible top) -> main dump + FUD
14/âž® Remember that such sales are a complex thing, with many aspects you can't think through
☩ I’ve rarely met ppl who made it big on their very first sale
☩ But when I did, they all understood and used this pattern (along with their own years of experience and vision).
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