ASR-VC指标4h通道状态更新:
$BTC 4h线昨晚正式对通道中轨进行了测试,同时中轨也是左侧首次回调的需求区,目前来看,支撑有效,想要维持大级别多头趋势,接下来需要价格有能力走出更高的高点(120k)才行;
另一方面,现货溢价指数依旧处于较低水平,但有所回升,似乎可以感觉到这波新高行情后出现 的大量现货供应已经得到了消耗。
当下的思路变得很清晰了,价格只要能够维持在中轨以上,就可继续保持看多,而且这里完全可以考虑一个对中轨的假跌破的;
因为115k这个位置存在不少多头流动性,所以即使价格插针跌破需求区和中轨,只要能快速收回,并不确认跌破,那么反而是很好的做多机会;
但如果价格最终确认跌破中轨,把图中这个下降三角型给走出来了,那么大级别多头趋势也就彻底结束了...短期目标会给到通道下沿青色线(112k)位置。
总之,交易就是在关键位置赌一把,价格靠近中轨或插针需求区,就是所谓的关键位置,该赌就赌,大不了跌破止损罢了...

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