$BTC
Market Context:
Six sessions of overlapping value indicate compressed value and balance = short term equilibrium awaiting directional moves out of this zone.
No clear read for me here - no trade zone.
Alts Observation:
Low Bitcoin volatility regimes are ideal environments for when capital rotates out into alts, which tend to outperform Bitcoin during this window of opportunity. It’s been the perfect setup for select alts so far, until Bitcoin dictates pace again.
Initiative Buying Scenario:
Acceptance above composite highs of 119s, accompanied by aggressive initiative buying, suggests control is shifting back to buyers. I'm looking for range extension higher toward all-time highs, with some altcoins likely to get bid alongside.
Initiative Selling:
A break below composite value lows would likely trigger selling into a bunch of single prints around the 114s or 112s.
I would need to see a reaction here to consider new longs on bitcoin. Also wouldn't be surprised if this leads to some level deleveraging among late long alt positioning, given the build-up alt oi over the last few days.
My spot positioning has been doing most of the heavy lifting - closed out all long alt perps positions on Sunday evening until the next set of plays.
Have a fab week ahead.




$BTC
Price remains in balance between 115–120, continuing to bracket within a clearly defined range, with responsive selling evident at local range highs.
Last night’s move into the 121s was driven by aggressive market buying, predominantly short covering activity. This was confirmed by a decline in open interest on the push higher, suggesting a lack of new longs and the presence of trapped sellers getting squeezed.
Notable absorption on the offer further reinforces the idea of forced exits rather than initiative buying.
Currently, price is exhibiting overlapping value over the past few sessions = clear signs of ongoing acceptance within this range.
A rotation lower into the 114s would be a key area of interest from a long perspective (depends on the flow and reaction). I'd be looking for signs of buyer response and rotation back up into the Value Area High - Lets see.
Last one for the day - thats all - cheers.


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