$BTC's long liquidity rebounded before it was cleared...
In the short term, there is actually the possibility of another needle downward, but the spot congo has returned to positive, and futures positions have begun to decline, and the risk of direct door drawing has now been lifted.
It's good to close out short-term longs, but the most unfavorable factor for the price rally right now is the lack of short liquidity...
So I feel that even if we can get out of a nice rally here (0.618), we will have to come down and liquidate 2 more times...
The bulls will not be scared away by a wave of pullbacks, just like the bears have been liquidated many times in a row before they become today's state of opening a small position with low leverage...
The small-level trend is still in the bearish trend, and the large-level trend is still in the bullish trend, so you can see the small rebound + pullback, but you can't see the reversal for the time being...
The diagram of the falling wedge sent earlier can be referred to ~

今天这个流动性分析应该很好做了~
下面清算区在115k~113.8k,多头持仓还未下降,代表短期多头还未投降,小级别结构是偏向空头,大级别依旧利于多头,因此看一个向下快速下跌再收回的路径。
现货抄底盘在价格补完缺口前,似乎都不愿意接盘了...
巨鲸短期还会不会有动作我们也不清楚,CPI数据利空还是利多也未知,这个时候我选择继续看戏了...
如果价格连续2次测试下面这个清算区下沿都不破,出现该清不清的现象,那倒是可以考虑做多。
就是从概率上来说,较低...

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