I'm using the best AI models to bet $1000 on Polymarket! Asked it to use modern portfolio theory + bet sizing to make calculated bets. It chose everything from BTC price to Fed rates. Expected returns: o3-pro: +21.6% opus 4: +41.7% grok 4 heavy: +34% Will report back who won.
Wanted to use Gemini 2.5 Pro too but on AI Studio, it did not search the web. I’ve kicked off a Deep Research and will report back under this thread.
@anmol01gulati Working on it!
Wanted to use Gemini 2.5 Pro too but on AI Studio, it did not search the web. I’ve kicked off a Deep Research and will report back under this thread.
Prompt: "Check on the odds on Polymarket and tell me the most mispriced assets I should bet on from first principles reasoning. You have $1000. Please do deep research and present precise odds on each bet. Use advanced math for trading. Draw research from authoritative sources like research and unbiased pundits. Size my bets properly and use everything you know about portfolio theory. Calculate your implied odds from first principles and make sure you get an exact number. Your goal is to maximize expected value. Make minimum 5 bets. Write it in a table."
Gemini 2.5 Pro + Deep Research It was pretty conservative only deploying $498 and estimating +19.9% But very very detailed report.
@anmol01gulati @OfficialLoganK Got it!
Gemini 2.5 Pro + Deep Research It was pretty conservative only deploying $498 and estimating +19.9% But very very detailed report.
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