most people are mediocre to terrible at what they do, you should only invest in vc winners, news at 11
this is like saying “many startups will cease to exist this cycle”, zero alpha in the statement, it’s obvious
Many crypto VC funds will cease to exist this cycle
On the supply side, LPs used to invest in VC funds because there was no easy way to get exposure to crypto. Now, you can just get exposure to BTC through the ETF and outperform 99%+ of VCs. The demand for illiquid investments is also trending downward, with university endowments and pension funds getting rekt on illiquid investments. Someone found out that VCs have an incentive to mark up their funds as high as possible to collect more management fees, so the only way to sell your interest in a fund is to put it for sale at a big discount. Coincidentally, there are many sellers in private equity and few buyers. VCs are also structurally designed to miss the biggest plays in crypto (like Hyperliquid) and to mostly chase beta, so they don't end up capturing any of the asymmetry crypto has
On the demand side, there's no marginal buyer for most tokens. Retail got smarter and realized most tokens are a scam. Alt season isn't coming to save them
Liquid fund szn?
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