Prediction markets are less reliant on mega-whales for volume than perps
This is a log-scale Lorenz curve of platform volume for 2 weeks of data for Polymarket filtered for traders with >10,000 in volume, and 1 week of data for Hyperliquid (allegedly filtered for >10m in volume and >100k in account value, but we still see accs with 0 in the dataset)
This data could mean a couple of things:
1. Pred markets are inherently more mass market (hence why Poly is focusing energy on top of funnel (ie. IG accs) and user education
2. Perps are just more mature, and pred markets will move towards massive concentration.
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