Target for ETH in this cycle
Really lucky that Rich's thesis has been correct as he continuously wrote analysis on ETH from 18xx to 25xx for everyone to confidently act upon.
If you find this article good and aligned with your goals, don't forget to give Rich a heart + a share.
1. Market sentiment about ETH
There’s something I wonder if you’ve noticed, but funds/investment organizations are holding more ETH than retailers.
This means that similar to the bull case for BTC: while ETF funds and Strategy (Michael Saylor) are holding a lot of BTC and BTC is continuously increasing in price, retailers mostly hold altcoins rather than ETH.
You guys are still quite bearish on ETH, and at the current price level, if funds/investment organizations are diligently accumulating ETH (because they believe the valuation is still cheap), then the actions of retailers are the opposite, hunting for altcoins or waiting to break even.
ETH is inheriting the advantages and story of Bitcoin in 2017 and Bitcoin in 2022, when everyone was bearish on ETH.
2. Entry buy for ETH
Currently, we have passed through 3 price levels: 18xx (first buy zone), 25xx (second buy zone), 35xx (final DCA zone).
If you ask Rich: Is it a good time to buy ETH now? Rich thinks you should patiently wait for ETH to turn back around 35xx – 38xx.
Sell plan for ETH this cycle — Rich is confident that the first two zones will be achieved:
• Price zone $6000 — Sell 30% at target 6868
• Price zone $8000 — Sell 30% at target 8686
• ETH above $10000 — Sell all
3. Why is ETH targeted from the price zone above $6000?
Let’s make a comparison about the ETH/BTC ratio
• December 2024: ETH at 4K and BTC at 90K – 100K, then the ETH:BTC ratio ~0.05
• December 2025: The story about ETH is better, the cash flow into ETH is better, and the macroeconomics are also better (S&P 500 and stock market continuously hitting new ATHs).
Corresponding to the ETH:BTC ratio when BTC is at 120K ➜ ETH will have a value above $6000.
Targets of ETH DATs (digital asset treasury), especially @fundstrat, will be somewhere in the range of $7000 – $15000.
But one thing Richard has realized after many years in the investment market: If you want to survive, take profits before the funds do.
For example: If the max target that funds value ETH at is $15K (equivalent to a market cap equal to Bitcoin at the price of 120K, about 2000 billion dollars), then you should gradually take profits when reaching 1/2 of the target, equivalent to ETH around $7000 – $8000.
This aligns with Rich's target zones of 6868 and 8686. The remaining 30% will be left to float if ETH is truly pushed above 10K.
Rich sees that during this period, he has built a very solid thesis about ETH and has continuously accumulated a significant amount of ETH.
If you share the same view as Rich, then give a heart and share this article.
If you want Rich to analyze more or debate, please comment below.
GM and wish you all a week full of energy 😍
Master plan for ETH
If you're still unclear and don't know how the market will develop in the near future, take 3 minutes to read this article.
In May, when Rich noticed ETH was moving sideways around the 18xx range, he called for a move.
In June - July, when ETH was moving sideways around the 25xx range, Rich continued to call for another move.
And now, moving into August, ETH is moving sideways around the 35xx range – you might consider buying/DCA more for your ETH position if it drops to the 28xx ~ 3000 range.
Why call at this range?
You can check ETH's price reactions at various sideways ranges in the past (the chart Rich annotated). Most market makers tend to accumulate ETH at a fixed price range before pumping it to a higher price.
ETH has journeyed from 18xx ➜ 25xx ➜ 35xx (currently), and Rich predicts that the 45xx range could be the next sideways range before ETH establishes a new ATH this year.
This is Rich's cautious scenario. Of course, if macro conditions are favorable, market makers could quickly push ETH up at the end of August.
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Action for top altcoins
When ETH hits the 4000 range – this will be a psychological barrier that will make many hesitate to take profits or hold. At this price level, Rich will not mention buying or DCA ETH anymore.
Instead, the top altcoins – especially L1s that haven't had a pump yet will be the priority. You can wait for ETH to drop to 28xx - 3000 to select some safe top L1 coins suitable for your upcoming investment plan.
Example reference price ranges:
• SUI: 2.5 - 3
• APT: 3.5 - 4
• SEI: 0.22 - 0.26
• BERA: 1.5 - 1.8
• EIGEN: 0.8 - 1
• LDO: 0.7 - 1
• TRUMP: 7.7 - 8.5
These are some price ranges and altcoin selections that Rich thinks will be suitable for the market in the near future.
If you have any further questions about the market, feel free to comment below so Rich knows.
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