I also talked about this with my friends today, and the rise in the risk market is very similar to the trend from April 11 to May, on the one hand, it has just come out of the tense tariff issue (tariff delay), and on the other hand, there are expectations for monetary policy, and Trump shouts Powell every day.
All the main sentiment at the moment is coming from the passability (tariffs until August 1) and the expectation that Trump will finalize the new Fed chairman, or at least his candidate, in July, but the bond market is not so optimistic, and the 10-, 20-, and 30-year Treasury bonds all indicate that the Fed is not so fast on the path of a full-blown rate cut.
For $BTC, it is still highly consistent with U.S. stocks, and the decisions of investors in U.S. stocks will inevitably reflect the cryptocurrency market, it's just a matter of time, Bitcoin has indeed started to increase last Thursday, but this volume has not reached a very high level, compared with the peak in 2024, the gap is far away, so the buying volume is not very strong, and more people don't want to buy.
In the past, the more people wanted to sell, the more they rose, but now the more they rise, the fewer people want to sell.

高盛交易台最新的观点,只有六个大字:市场太傲慢了
确实是,现在所有的资产都在新高,白银14年来新高,铂金11 年来新高,比特币新高,英伟达历史新高,目前市场确实有很多不太对劲的逻辑。
大美丽法案通过后,三季度净发债1万亿美元,虽然大部分是短期的,但是流动性抽水是一定的,当前的情形极度类似2023年6月,
2023年6月债务上限解除后,三季度进入发债高峰后,标普500在此期间回调4%,美元指数上涨3.3%,虽然不能严格刻舟求剑,
但现在美股处于高位,10年美债收益率又在抬高,美元指数也在悄悄涨,市场情绪处于极度乐观,往往这种稍微有点利空就会引发回调,当然不是让大家做空,只是做个提醒
现在市场主线是交易降息,交易川普TACO,交易鲍威尔辞职,但群体的共识往往是反转的开始。
刚建仓了冶金煤和做多黄金的仓位……
46.09K
39
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.