$BTC 的现货溢价还在持续下降,目前已经越来越接近0轴了,好消息是,之前的期现背离已经消除,几乎每周都会遇到至少一次这种价格与溢价反向运行的现象,果然高确定性及高胜率的交易机会出现的频率都不高... 回到盘面,可以看到当前这个状态与5月份的时候比较相似,都是位于相对高位震荡,溢价不断下行 ,但关键的是,趋势结构并没有被破坏,就像当前价格始终无法跌破107k一样... 所以后续思路主要集中107k是否能撑住这个关键因素了。 溢价的下行,虽然代表了现货市场的持续供应,但由于价格并未出现破位大幅下跌,因此另一方面也给后续上涨打开了溢价上升的空间。 因此,107k不跌破,可以继续看多,跌破107k,就需要防守一波了!
$BTC 现货溢价仍在持续下降,12封关税信函目前只公开了一封...还有11封在路上... 引文早上的预期算是兑现了,遗憾的是这波没有做空,107k跌破之前,在我视角下都是情绪化的波动。 合约冷静期是个好东西啊!
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