My personal bias is that we haven't even hit the meat of the bull market yet.
Zero real euphoria.
Slow and steady grind up, boring the short term holders into capitulation.
But I hedge my personal bias with a plan that helps me to sleep well in all scenarios.
Bitcoin is nearing a decision point on the medium-term.
- Weekly MACD is threatening a bearish crossover
- Stack Wisely Cycle Index potential lower high
- Weekly RSI potential lower high
Bottom line: Momentum needs to pick up again otherwise we could be entering another bearish period.
And if confirmed, this would be the first lower high on the Stack Wisely Cycle Index for this "cycle" - something worth paying attention to.
On the flip side, we haven't been "overheated" since January despite recently setting a new all time high.
You can either interpret that as meaning that we have plenty of room to run from here, or you can see it as a replay of November 2021 when we set a new high without reaching overheated levels.
As an investor, you need to be prepared for all scenarios.
If you're in stack-only mode, none of this matters.
Stay solvent, create value, and DCA buy the world's only finite money.
If you have significant wealth in BTC, create a plan that allows you to sleep comfortably in bearish and bullish scenarios.
And then stick to the plan 🫡
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