I still have the same point of view, at the current data level, the technical level is not as good as Trump's mouth. I don't know if Trump will come out with another moth on Monday, and the changes in the market mainly depend on metaphysics.
哪有小孩天天哭,哪有赌徒天天输,强势了一个多月的多头遭遇川普强力阻击。毕竟这个市场就是政策市,4.2关税战是川普发起的,各种法案也是川普推动的,盈亏同源,成也萧何败也萧何。川大统领想让美股美债虚拟货币涨就涨,想让跌就跌,一切均服务他的利益而不是散户的利益。
川子前几次喊完买入股市就都涨了,这次川普币晚宴之后,#TRUMP 就从16一路下跌到12,连掩饰都懒得掩饰,摆明了利好出尽的姿态。盲猜他暂时不能再用涨来拉拢支持者,那用一个确定性的下跌其实也一样的效果。
昨天还跟小桂子 @Guilin_Chen_ 说如果只是拉到11w就下去其实也说得通,但又怕是空头相互洗脑。为了解掉手里103的空单大概规划了几条:
1. 原计划103就差不多了,最后那1w点可能是稳定币法案带来的短期情绪性利好导致的,如果是这样,借助川普的利空就还有的救
2. 从111下来回踩EMA20,爆掉James的104顺便清算一下别人,底线到102-103.
3. 即使确认111这里是头部开始下跌了也不会一直下去,多头强了这么久有惯性,散户肯定会追涨,103左右反手开多上去
4. 看看从103上去之后是继续破前高111还是做右肩,如果右肩确认开始空头行情就继续反手空下去
5. 以上每一步都要考虑当时具体的宏观政策,情绪,盘面指标

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