In the short to medium term, it doesn't matter what you think is, what the market thinks is the most important.
When you trade to a certain depth, you will realize that even if you predict that a stock will fall for a long time, as long as the entire market is currently judged to be rising and are pushing up, then your best strategy is to follow the trend (consensus) for a while and retreat in time before the wrong trend collapses.
炒 meme 有个心法要诀：
中短期内你认为是什么并不重要，市场认为是什么最重要。你能理解什么叙事和产品可以让市场共鸣，就已经很牛了。长期看项目本身是什么更重要，要回归到项目本身。
有人肯定会问，短期和长期的时间周期到底是怎样的？说实话这个问题没有标准答案。
swarms 最高 500m，代码垃圾得一塌糊涂。炒作周期三个月，不影响上涨。也不影响后面跌成狗。我当时觉得不行没上，这一课教训值上百万u。
luna 你们新人都不知道这个币，terra 的平台代币，上轮牛市的旁氏之星，后面一路归零。炒作周期没记错应该是三年。
还有最近暴跌的 om，涨了很多倍之后也是直接脚踝斩。
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