The almost complete one way traffic of USDT is the #1 red flag. Is there even a single independent institution that can confirm they have redeemed $USDT?
Tether’s biggest risk that doesn’t get enough attention is their lack of redemption capacity. That’s the Achilles Heel of any stablecoin issuer.
Tether once held 10% plus of USDT reserves in cash, but after the collapse of Signature and Silvergate in Mar ‘23 they lost banking access and their cash positions collapsed.
Last quarter they had just $30M of cash/bank deposits. Just 0.02% of their reserves. By comparison, Circle holds 12.4% of its USDC reserves as cash in banks.
You see than in the redemption stats of Circle (who is fully banked) and Tether. In the last 12 months, Circle has redeemed 34x more USDC for fiat than Tether.
That’s the risk that @CryptoHayes missed in his tweet about Tether risk.
#Teth er
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