Tether 估值為 515B 是一個美麗的數位。
考慮到我們目前（並且不斷增加）比特幣 + 黃金的國庫，可能有點看跌，但我非常謙卑。
也對我們公司的下一階段增長感到非常興奮。
謝謝大家 ❤️
If @Tether_to went public TODAY, Tether would be the 19th largest company in the world at $515B.
That's ahead of Costco and Coca Cola.
Here's why:
- Circle is now public at $30B marketcap
- Our financial model has Circle at $410B EBITDA in 2025 or 69.3x EBITDA
- Tether claims $13B of net profits in 2024. $7B came from Treasuries and Repos -- the other $5B came from unrealized gains from Bitcoin and gold holdings which we don't include in EBITDA.
- We assume Tether grows USDT supply by adding another $50-$60B of USDT and avg USDT supply in 2025 is $170B with avg Fed Funds Rate of 4.2% implies ~$7.4B 2025 EBITDA.
- $7.4B of EBITDA * 69.3x EBITDA = $515B.
Of course our core assumption is using the 69.3x EBITDA $CRCL multiple which is insane and unlikely to hold up.
Sheesh.
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