Post

峰哥的交易日记
峰哥的交易日记
Show original
特朗普在圣安东尼奥的竞选活动上说,他“不太想要”跟伊朗达成协议。同时,他的国家安全团队正在讨论未来数周恢复大规模对伊朗军事行动的可能性,潜在行动包括对伊朗能源、基础设施和核设施实施“大规模轰炸”。 而伊朗那边在干什么? 在用比特币收霍尔木兹海峡的过路费。 这不是段子,是真实操作流程。 伊朗石油天然气和石化产品出口商联盟发言人哈米德·侯赛尼说得很清楚: 每艘要通过霍尔木兹海峡的油轮,先发邮件报告货物情况。伊朗评估后告知通行费金额——每桶原油1美元,空船免费。然后船方只有几秒钟时间,用比特币完成支付。 目的就一个:确保这笔钱不会因制裁被追踪或冻结。 一艘满载200万桶原油的超大型油轮,通行费200万美元。如果长期化,伊朗每年潜在收益数百亿美元。 伊朗央行持有至少5.07亿美元的泰达币,用于支撑本币和国际贸易结算。 伊斯兰革命卫队自2023年以来,利用加密货币转移了约10亿美元以规避制裁。 Chainalysis估算,伊朗加密货币市场去年规模约78亿美元,其中逾半数活动由革命卫队及其关联势力主导。 伊朗占全球比特币挖矿活动的约4.5%,靠着廉价能源把电力变成可全球流通的数字资产。 潘格亚政策公司分析师特里·黑恩斯: “无论是否达成协议,这都将成为新常态。” 意思是——即使战争结束,即使美伊签了协议,加密货币作为能源贸易结算工具的角色,可能永久保留。 这不是停火期间的临时措施。这是结构性变化。 特朗普在炸伊朗的核设施,伊朗在用比特币收过路费。 这是2026年最荒诞也最真实的画面。 当制裁和轰炸同时发生时,加密资产成了被制裁者唯一的选择。不是因为他们喜欢比特币,而是因为美元体系对他们关上了门,而比特币没有门。 如果每个被制裁国家都开始用加密货币结算能源贸易,比特币的底层需求就多了一层国家级刚需。 不是散户炒作,不是ETF资金流,是主权国家为了活下去必须买入的资产。 这比任何叙事都硬。 $BTC $XAU $BZ
峰哥的交易日记
峰哥的交易日记
The news says 'The US government transferred $670 million,' which sounds like the government is liquidating assets. But breaking it down — 3,974 BTC come from the Bitfinex hack case, 568.7 BTC from the HashFlare fraud case, 40,285 BNB from Alameda, and a large amount of USDT related to the FTX bankruptcy case. Bitfinex BTC: The Department of Justice claims in January 2025 to return 94,643 BTC to Bitfinex. The final destination of these assets may not be a "government sell-off" but rather "returning to victims." HashFlare assets: The Department of Justice clearly states that "seized assets will be used to compensate victims." This is part of the compensation process, not a market sell-off. Alameda-related BTC/WBTC: This part is in a gray area — WBTC is not legally equivalent to BTC and is classified as "digital asset reserves" rather than "strategic bitcoin reserves." The Treasury Secretary has discretion over its management strategy. Most people see "the government is selling." But from another perspective — these assets entering Coinbase Prime may be for legal compensation processes, custodial consolidation, or preparation for returning to victims. Misreading "legal process" as "market sell-off" is the biggest cognitive bias in this panic. Behind the $670 million token transfer is a complex legal procedure involving hacking cases, fraud cases, and bankruptcy cases. $BTC $ETH $BNB

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!