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灵儿勇闯天涯
灵儿勇闯天涯
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$ANTHROPIC 扔出30万亿美元TAM,这饼画得比$XSPCX 还大 刚看到消息,Anthropic准备在招股书里给投资者讲一个30万亿美元的故事,超过了SpaceX上市时抛出的28.5万亿。 30万亿是TAM,理论上的上限,不是真能赚到这么多,但敢喊这个数,至少在叙事上已经压过SpaceX一头。支撑它的是一组实打实的数据:二季度营收破115亿,同比涨了14倍,调整后利润也转正了。7月底年化营收冲到650亿以上。 不过也有分析指出,ARR里用了总额法计收入,可能把分给云厂商的钱也算进去了。2025年净亏420亿,烧钱速度同样惊人。 2万亿目标估值对应约31倍市销率,高于5月私募时的21倍。估值先跑,等基本面来验证,这剧本你见过几次了?不管Anthropic的2万亿还是宇树上市首日4449亿市值,资本市场的逻辑就是提前定价未来,只是赌注大小的问题。 #Anthropic估算30万亿美元市场,IPO叙事能否兑现?
灵儿勇闯天涯
灵儿勇闯天涯
If $ANTHROPIC really surges to 2 trillion, those hundred-bagger stocks will have to step aside Just took a quick look at the market, everything else is sideways, but $ANTHROPIC keeps pushing up, almost touching 192. This company's IPO valuation points directly to 2 trillion dollars, with fundraising possibly exceeding 100 billion, directly crushing the record set by SpaceX. You might think 2 trillion sounds ridiculous, but look at the neighboring $UNITREE Yushu Technology, which opened at 1100 yuan on its first day on the A-share market, with a market cap once hitting 444.9 billion. And this company’s full-year revenue for 2025 is only about 1.7 billion, with net profit excluding non-recurring items less than 600 million. 1.7 billion in revenue supporting a 440 billion market cap, applied to Anthropic means 65 billion annualized revenue corresponding to a 2 trillion valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of about 30 times. Compared this way, it doesn’t seem so exaggerated. On one side is AI large models generating real revenue with real money, on the other side are robots still dancing in the lab. The capital market’s pricing logic has long stopped looking at "how much is earned now" and instead bets on "how big it can grow in the future." This is why companies like Yushu can reach over 400 billion, and Anthropic can be pushed to 2 trillion. We’ll know when the prospectus comes out whether it’s really worth that price. #宇树科技科创板首日开盘暴涨629%,高估值如何兑现? #Anthropic拟8月底公开IPO文件,募资或追平SpaceX ——$ANTHROPIC

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