Posteo
Ranainam922
$SPCX : Great Company. Wrong Price. 📉
After-hours bid is sitting at $107.77. On Monday, Aug 3, we open on the edge of the $107.01 historical low.
The Bull Case:
Morgan Stanley & 27 analysts target $250–$300. Starlink growing 50% YoY, launch dominance, $23.7B cash pile, and Nasdaq-100 passive demand.
The Bear Case:
Annual cash burn of -$9.4B at a 76 P/S multiple. Q2 earnings in 4 days (expected loss). In 6 days, a $98B share unlock floods a tiny 5% float. Shorts aren't covering; price is below IPO and in freefall.
My Position:
The market is voting with its feet—volume has halved as buyers vanish. If $107.01 breaks before the Aug 4 earnings report, $100 comes fast. If earnings miss (-$0.25 EPS expected) with weak guidance, $85 becomes reality.
SpaceX is a generational company, but at $108 it remains structurally overvalued ahead of a 2x float expansion.
Primary Accumulation Target: $85 (Capitulation Floor)
Follow + 🔔. First buy alert posted here in real-time.
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