1d ago
Elon Musk outsmarted Polymarket traders.
The range 260-279 was dominating on the "Elon Musk # tweets October 14 - October 21, 2025?" market.
Most traders thought this was the safe bet and the final number. But in the last hour Elon went full beast mode on Twitter.
The next range 280-299 was just 20 tweets away. Elon posted 21 tweets, but deleted 4 before the tracker counted them. Some traders thought replies counted too lol.
This deal is still under review and there’s a chance UMA might count it (if they managed to track the deleted ones).
But this is a reminder: always read the rules. It clearly mentioned replies and how the tracker handles post registration timing.
I’ll write a separate post about the common Polymarket trader mistakes soon.
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