I look for mispricings. Benicio del Toro is a mispriced actor. Christopher Nolan was mispriced after he made Memento (back in 2000). The Audi A6 is mispriced relative to luxury brands. CoreWeave was mispriced at 15x PE in private markets. The ETHE / GBTC trade was mispriced at a 50% discount to NAV. A 2.5% 30 year fixed rate mortgage in Covid was mispriced. Uranium was mispriced when we interviewed the CEO of $ASPI last year. (Ditto $VIRT and $BETR both interviewer on Lumida Non-Consensus Podcast.) Solana was mispriced when @LumidaWealth interviewed @KyleSamani Hot sauna and cold dips are mispriced. JP Morgan and UBS were mispriced during the 2023 banking crisis. I believe the long-term benefits of having a family and memories to cherish is mispriced (eg, under-rated). Physics and Philosophy majors are mispriced. Rocket Lab was mispriced when Elon was ex-communicated from Trump’s orbit. Capitalism & entrepreneurship is mispriced. Certain business models are mispriced. Carl Jung and Joseph Campbell are mispriced philosophers. Stand up comedy is mispriced. I enjoy recruiting talent on Telegram or Discord because their intensity is mispriced. Consumer discretionary and semiconductors like $NCLH and $TSM were mispriced after tariffmageddon. People often classify strategies as momentum (trend following) or value (mean reversion). There is another bucket. I love mispricings.
Capital One beat EPS estimates by 50%. Look at the P/CF multiple vs EPS growth and tell me it’s still not mispriced. Further, tax cuts on low income will help Capital One credit portfolio. If you had bought $COF on the date of the post below you would be up 2.4x. $COF
There are a lot of things that are overpriced. English Majors. France. Legacy brands in decline. Don’t get me started.
Some people have an eye for mispricings.
If brand names and status seeking and social climbing is your thing, you will be chasing growth stocks at tops forever.
So many names in my portfolio are mispricings.
Clint Eastwood movies are underpriced. Michael Bay movies are overpriced.
Lumida Non-Consensus Investing podcast:
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