The 4year cycle theory remains valid and unfazed despite the countless attempts from everyone to dust it.
I was a bull since 2023 and through last year I anticipated an all time high in Q4 2025 which ended up happening. I think one thing I learned from previous cycle is to shut down my emotions and wishful thinking and operate mainly on data presented on the charts.
All metrics + the 4year cycle suggest that the cycle top is $124k and bitcoin trend has shifted and that this is not a correction but a beginning of a downtrend.
Also Data ( BTC dominance ) suggest that there’s still opportunity to make money on some majors altcoins, so focus on altcoins instead on wishing for a new bitcoin new all time high which might never come until years from now
I think $BTC making a new all time highs early this year because if ETFs has caused a lot of confusion among many people even the ones that has been here since 2017
if you take a look at this chart below and remove the fact that we made new all time highs early this year you will see that we're exactly where we're supposed to be compared to previous cycles
Knocking at the doors of previous all time highs leading into end of year witch MACD signal going green just like previous cycles
Although percentage gains are going to be very diminished but we're def going to tap into $79K-$82K zone at least.
optimistic target will be $98K and euphoric is somewhere between $105K-$140K ( highly unlikely Imo ) unless we have two major runs ( Q1 2025 & Q4 2025 )
hope this was helpful
Prime example why I’m looking into Altcoins with extrem enthusiasm, not guaranteed it will happen but def worth the shot
Look what XRP did back in December 2017 right after Fall by 50% and went for a retracement, 18x against BTC and wiping out almost a year of down only in a matter of days
$FIl & $TAO might pull something similar
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