贪恐指数来到了22,519和312的指数分别是15和18,按照这个参考假设还有一波行情作为守卫那么快了,如果参考四年周期的话这其实可以结束也可以不结束!
先说不结束的结论,如果没有贸易战这个事件可能早就上去了,但是说如果这个词明显没啥意思因为已经发生了,所以现在降息、四年周期、这些影响都不抵川普六月天!
至于历史的贸易战有参考性没,可以说有也可以说没有,毕竟每个事件段的环境,以及各种的实时反馈都不同!18年1月的贸易战一直持续到2019年12月,才开始和解。2020年双方签署第一阶段贸易协议,当时承诺额外进口2000亿美国商品,美国暂停了部分新关税。
这次节奏上面更快,包括这次拿稀土出来说是事情,中方的回复也是相当温和,给足了川普台阶。所以别的情绪都不用管盯着川普就行了,还是那句话大胆想象谨慎操作!
#BTC #DOGE #DOGE

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