复盘 $LABUBU 失败抄底操作: 从1WU利润回撤至1800U 成功案例看多了,今天来聊聊失败案例,希望我的教训能对你有所启发。目前来看,我在 $LABUBU 的三段抄底操作无疑是失败的,即便后续价格反弹,我的操作依然不及格。 失败核心原因:过度贪婪,以及前期几次成功交易带来的过度自信,导致我做出了非理性操作 失败操作回顾: $LABUBU 价格二段拉升至60M时,我在55M附近卖出了大部分筹码,锁定了大部分利润。然而,之后在45M、37M、28M三个点位,我接连进行了三笔失败的抄底操作,结果导致整体利润从1WU大幅回撤至1800U 45M抄底逻辑:认为狗庄仍持有大量筹码,且主观判断洗盘已较充分,短期内重回前高的概率较高。 37M抄底逻辑:小时线出现横盘企稳信号,尝试左侧进场博取更高收益。 28M抄底逻辑:从32M跌至28M过程中放量明显,判断狗庄在进行最后一波恐慌洗盘,意在洗出不坚定筹码,因此再次左侧进场。 这三笔操作的共同点是:均为左侧交易,追求高收益,归根结底是贪婪作祟 其他教训 对市场特性的忽视: $LABUBU 是冬季明牌参与的项目,而冬季盘暴力洗盘的尿性众所周知。在这种盘子里,右侧交易是更稳妥的选择。右侧虽可能少赚,但能有效规避亏损。 标的特性分析不足: $LABUBU 走势与WEB2高度相关,受消息面影响较大。近期泡泡玛特官方618突击补货导致二级市场价格大跌,黄牛市场哀鸿遍野;同时,媒体利用高层减持股票做文章fud进一步打压了股价。尽管从长期看,打压黄牛有助于泡泡玛特品牌形象提升,让真正喜爱IP的消费者以官方价格购买产品,但短期内的FUD对市场情绪冲击明显。 关于 $LABUBU 的未来 泡泡玛特有望成为一个长期发展的大IP, $LABUBU 也有潜力成为长期标的。(然而,当前市场环境浮躁,我个人并不愿意陪它慢慢成长🤣🤣🤣) 失败总结 仓位管理失误:在60M时,我的预估目标是前高70M附近,理论上无需精确吃到60-70M的涨幅,至少应卖出85-90%的仓位。但实际上,我只卖出了70%,错失了锁定利润更多的机会。 交易纪律不足:多次左侧抄底过于激进,尤其在第一笔左侧交易失败后,仍继续左侧操作。特别是在冬季盘中,右侧交易才是更明智的选择。 一点感悟 希望我的教训能给你一些启发。最近市场流动性极差,感觉到了冰点,想找个短期翻倍的二段机会都难。接下两天又是周末,我在外玩了一周基本没操作,周一回家后继续“枯坐”盯盘 失败不可怕,可怕的是不知道失败的原因,再次犯同样的错误
GN, $LABUBU's diamond hands have been tortured enough to choke on this wave of mentality, and the 60M three breakthroughs have failed: the front double top met the battle, and today it was blocked by the Pump official push. Yesterday afternoon to the evening has been watching, the bookmaker in the 50-60 range shipments obviously. I originally thought that the pullback to 45 would rise again, but I didn't expect the Pump official push to be blocked this morning, and now the anti-Pump sentiment is gradually heating up, and the Pump series of new coins generally fell greater Today it is mainly dominated by retail investors, and bookmakers only ship small quantities. I think there's another wave to follow, but we may have to wait for the Pump news to be clear. Looking back on my operation in LABUBU, I am quite satisfied. Although I was optimistic from the beginning, I didn't take it, and I have reduced a lot of positions at the highs, and it is only a profit drawdown at present, so the mentality is relatively stable At present, the sustainability of meme coins on Solana has weakened significantly, and in addition to the meme itself, the market is hanging high like a sword of Damocles and may fall down at any time. The dog village also has to be improvised, dealing with all kinds of unexpected situations
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