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10u做到退休
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非农全面超预期!就业暴增16.2万,9月加息几乎板上钉钉!
美国8月非农新增就业16.2万人,市场预期仅5.6万——超预期近三倍。6月和7月合计上修5.5万人,劳动力市场比纸面数据更强。失业率4.1%符合预期,劳动参与率回升至61.6%。
数据拆解:
① 8月非农16.2万 vs 预期5.6万——完全碾压市场预期,创3月以来新高
② 6月+7月累计上修5.5万——就业数据全面强化,不是单月偶然
③ 失业率4.1%符合预期,参与率回升——上月因参与率下降导致的“假摔”担忧彻底消除
对BTC/ETH影响:
① 9月加息概率大幅攀升,此前“暂停加息”的预期基本落空
② 美债收益率跳涨,2年期升至4.41%,风险资产全面承压
③ 沃勒放鸽带来的短暂反弹窗口正式关闭,BTC重回承压通道
一句话:就业数据全面碾压预期,加息板上钉钉。大饼准备好迎接新一轮冲击。
$BTC $ETH
It's really explosive!
Expected a big rise, but didn't expect it to surge this fiercely!
Yellow hair really lives up to the name, just amazing 👍
At this position, don't think about chasing longs, the cost-performance ratio is almost zero, better to short for a higher cost-performance.
At this position, anyway, I will short it in batches, very tempting, betting on the up and down spikes when tomorrow's non-farm payroll data comes out!
· BTC: resistance at 81260
· ETH: resistance at 2520
· SOL: resistance at 107
· ZEC: resistance at 876
· HYPE: resistance at 85.23
· OKB: resistance at 115
Personally, I will short them in batches around the resistance levels, too tempting! But be sure to set stop-loss points!
Short! Short! Short! Hold the palace!
$BTC $ETH
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