中心化交易所核心位置:控制流動性,成為市場流動性樞紐
穩定幣:加密貨幣市場流動性橋樑,連接法幣和加密貨幣市場
鏈:開發者社區核心+技術創新
不過想做大,即使在Web3的傳統的成功因素(夠早期 創新 規模化 生態系統 合規 品牌)想成為巨龍 一個也不能落下。 找准需求,拿捏現金流
加密行業有三大聖杯,交易所/穩定幣/公鏈,今天具體講講我對公鏈的看法。
The crypto industry has three holy grails: exchanges, stablecoins, and public chains. Today, I want to share my thoughts on public chains.
由於@ethereum 珠玉在前,此後大部分通用型Layer1的思路就是招募第三方開發者,讓別人構建自己的PMF。
With @ethereum setting the standard, most general-purpose Layer 1s now focus on recruiting third-party developers to build their own PMFs.
早期的ETH第一個PMF就是ICO(ETH早期的ICO用的還是BTC)
The first PMF of early ETH was ICOs (which still used BTC).
2018-2020(Defi Summer來臨之前)ICO失效了,在那時ETH理論上是沒有PMF的,所以低谷時ETH只有$80。
From 2018 to 2020, before DeFi Summer hit, ICOs became ineffective, leaving ETH theoretically without a PMF, which is why it dropped to $80 during the lows.
在ETH最困難的時候,@uniswap出現了,@AndreCronjeTech 系列出現了,後續Solana Copy to Ethereum,直到@SBF_FTX 爆雷。
During ETH's toughest times, @uniswap emerged, followed by @AndreCronjeTech series, then Solana's copy to Ethereum, until @SBF_FTX fallout.
仔細想想
- 每次ETH的成功都是從生態湧現的,無論是ICO還是Defi Summer,這非常值得思考。
- 這個週期Sol的成功是降低了發行資產的門檻( @pumpdotfun ),很好利用它的高性能特性。
- Tron最大的應用就是支付USDT,還有別的嗎? 沒了。
- BTC,定位從最早的“電子支付”直到現在“價值存儲”。
Thinking it through:
- Every success of ETH has emerged from its ecosystem, whether it was ICOs or DeFi Summer. This is worth pondering.
- Solana's success this cycle lowered the barrier for asset issuance (@pumpdotfun) and effectively utilized its high-performance features.
- For example, Tron’s biggest application is USDT payments—anything else? Nope.
- BTC's positioning has evolved from "electronic payment" to "value storage."
所以可以得出結論,一個生態的成功,並不需要搞這麼多花裡胡哨的Dapp。 以前奉為圭臬的成功路徑已經走上歷史舞臺,我不認為2016年出自@usv 的fat protocol(胖協定)是絕對正確。
So, we can conclude that the success of an ecosystem doesn’t require a plethora of flashy DApps. The previously revered path to success has taken its place in history. I don’t believe the fat protocol concept from @usv in 2016 is absolutely correct.
這個週期讓我非常意外的是@HyperliquidX ,它給了我許多靈感,是真正「胖應用瘦協定」的典範。 時代變了,我認為這個週期L1不應該再用過去的思路。
What surprised me this cycle is @HyperliquidX, which inspired me greatly—it's a true example of "fat apps, thin protocols." Times have changed, and I believe future successful L1s shouldn’t rely on past thinking.
未來成功的L1,應該是應用鏈。 說到應用鏈,再一次歎息,戰略上@cosmos 流下了時代的眼淚,應用鏈的定義,帳戶抽象,鏈通信等等全出自cosmos,畢竟就連BTC也是最大的應用鏈。
The successful L1 of the future should be application chains. Speaking of application chains, I can't help but sigh—strategically, @cosmos has shed tears of its era. The definitions of application chains, account abstraction, chain communication, etc., all originate from Cosmos. After all, even BTC is the largest application chain.
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