中心化交易所核心位置:控制流动性,成为市场流动性枢纽
稳定币:加密货币市场流动性桥梁,连接法币和加密货币市场
链:开发者社区核心+技术创新
不过想做大,即使在Web3的传统的成功因素(够早期 创新 规模化 生态系统 合规 品牌)想成为巨龙 一个也不能落下。找准需求,拿捏现金流
加密行业有三大圣杯,交易所/稳定币/公链,今天具体讲讲我对公链的看法。
The crypto industry has three holy grails: exchanges, stablecoins, and public chains. Today, I want to share my thoughts on public chains.
由于@ethereum 珠玉在前,此后大部分通用型Layer1的思路就是招募第三方开发者,让别人构建自己的PMF。
With @ethereum setting the standard, most general-purpose Layer 1s now focus on recruiting third-party developers to build their own PMFs.
早期的ETH第一个PMF就是ICO(ETH早期的ICO用的还是BTC)
The first PMF of early ETH was ICOs (which still used BTC).
2018-2020(Defi Summer来临之前)ICO失效了,在那时ETH理论上是没有PMF的,所以低谷时ETH只有$80。
From 2018 to 2020, before DeFi Summer hit, ICOs became ineffective, leaving ETH theoretically without a PMF, which is why it dropped to $80 during the lows.
在ETH最困难的时候,@uniswap出现了,@AndreCronjeTech 系列出现了,后续Solana Copy to Ethereum,直到@SBF_FTX 爆雷。
During ETH's toughest times, @uniswap emerged, followed by @AndreCronjeTech series, then Solana's copy to Ethereum, until @SBF_FTX fallout.
仔细想想
- 每次ETH的成功都是从生态涌现的,无论是ICO还是Defi Summer,这非常值得思考。
- 这个周期Sol的成功是降低了发行资产的门槛( @pumpdotfun ),很好利用它的高性能特性。
- Tron最大的应用就是支付USDT,还有别的吗?没了。
- BTC,定位从最早的“电子支付”直到现在“价值存储”。
Thinking it through:
- Every success of ETH has emerged from its ecosystem, whether it was ICOs or DeFi Summer. This is worth pondering.
- Solana's success this cycle lowered the barrier for asset issuance (@pumpdotfun) and effectively utilized its high-performance features.
- For example, Tron’s biggest application is USDT payments—anything else? Nope.
- BTC's positioning has evolved from "electronic payment" to "value storage."
所以可以得出结论,一个生态的成功,并不需要搞这么多花里胡哨的Dapp。以前奉为圭臬的成功路径已经走上历史舞台,我不认为2016年出自@usv 的fat protocol(胖协议)是绝对正确。
So, we can conclude that the success of an ecosystem doesn’t require a plethora of flashy DApps. The previously revered path to success has taken its place in history. I don’t believe the fat protocol concept from @usv in 2016 is absolutely correct.
这个周期让我非常意外的是@HyperliquidX ,它给了我许多灵感,是真正「胖应用瘦协议」的典范。时代变了,我认为这个周期L1不应该再用过去的思路。
What surprised me this cycle is @HyperliquidX, which inspired me greatly—it's a true example of "fat apps, thin protocols." Times have changed, and I believe future successful L1s shouldn’t rely on past thinking.
未来成功的L1,应该是应用链。说到应用链,再一次叹息,战略上@cosmos 流下了时代的眼泪,应用链的定义,账户抽象,链通信等等全出自cosmos,毕竟就连BTC也是最大的应用链。
The successful L1 of the future should be application chains. Speaking of application chains, I can't help but sigh—strategically, @cosmos has shed tears of its era. The definitions of application chains, account abstraction, chain communication, etc., all originate from Cosmos. After all, even BTC is the largest application chain.
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