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Macro and October Catalysts
After the September hike, the probability of another rate hike in October has collapsed to 15%. August core PCE came in at 3.0%, below expectations, fueling easing hopes. Key dates: Oct 7 FOMC minutes, Oct 14 September CPI, Oct 27–28 FOMC meeting. $BTC and gold have diverged sharply gold fell 8.5% in September while BTC rose 12% suggesting this rally is driven more by regulatory catalysts and capital flows than by macro narratives.
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