尤可欣

尤可欣

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Do you know that Japan has a really awesome place called couple club? Shocked me like hell for 800 years 😳
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A stock rose 9% when all exchanges worldwide were closed. Does it really count as a rise? This sounds like a philosophical question. But on July 30, it became a verifiable fact. About 6 hours before the US stock market opened, from UTC 07:00 to 12:00: SNDK rose 9.3% SKHYNIX rose 8.5% SKHY rose 10.3% One is a US stock, one is a Korean stock, and one is an ADR. Three completely different trading venues started simultaneously within the same window. Then the US market opened, and the market further confirmed the trend. Let's clarify why this is extraordinary. In finance, there is a classic finding cited for forty years. French and Roll conducted a study in 1986 comparing stock price variance during market open and close periods. The conclusion was that volatility during open hours is much higher than during closed hours. The explanation at the time was that trading activity itself creates volatility. But that study had an unavoidable premise. When the market is closed, you simply have no price series to measure. The low volatility you observe is not market calmness; it is the absence of instruments recording data. This is the true source of price gaps. We say the market gaps up 8% on Monday open, as if the price slept over the weekend and suddenly jumped upon waking. It did not jump. It moved continuously during those two days, but no venue allowed you to see or execute trades. A gap is not a price action; it is an observation breakpoint. So the question arises: What happens if a market continues operating during the traditional market's closed hours? Hasbrouck provided a set of tools in 1995. When the same asset trades on multiple venues, you can measure each venue's contribution to the final price. He called this the information share. This framework was originally used to compare the NYSE and NASDAQ. Now it has a more interesting application scenario: When traditional markets are closed, and only one market remains open, what is that market's information share during that period? The six hours on July 30 gave a directional answer. What further illustrates the issue is that this is not an isolated case. Look at Binance TradFi structural data. Top five storage-related stocks SNDK, SKHYNIX, SOXL, MU, SKHY had weekly trading volume of $73.3 billion, accounting for 57% of TradFi weekly volume. Among them, SNDK alone accounted for $24.4 billion, 19% of the entire week. And 51% of the volume for these five stocks occurred during the underlying market's closed hours. The off-exchange proportion for US stock-related assets is 49% to 66%. For Korean stocks, 48% to 49%. For SKHY, the ADR, 60%. Off-exchange is not just an extended session; it has become the main battlefield. Why storage specifically? Because this industry chain physically spans time zones. Upstream capacity is in Korea; demand and pricing power are in the US, with ADRs and ETFs in between. When an earnings report comes out, it must be transmitted back and forth between Seoul and New York. Traditional markets have segmented this chain into disconnected time periods. Seoul closes while New York hasn't opened yet. New York closes while Seoul is asleep again. What 7×24 trading does is reconnect these segments into a single timeline. The liquidity scale has also reached significant levels. From July 24 to 30, Binance TradFi perpetual weekly volume was $129.5 billion. On July 29 alone, $35.6 billion, 47% higher than the previous peak. The top five single-day volumes in history all occurred in July 2026. Under the Top 5 CEX metric, Binance accounts for 69%, 3.8 times the second place. This is not a pulse; it is a continuous peak elevation. Price discovery requires depth; off-exchange prices without depth are just noise. These numbers indicate that the capacity to absorb information is already in place. On another front, Binance Research conducted a study. To clarify, bStocks are tokenized stocks, and TradFi perpetuals are two different products with separate metrics and cannot be mixed. But they point to the same structural change. As of July 28, $1.5 billion of bStocks traded on Binance during US stock market closed hours. In the past seven days, 59% of Binance volume and 92% of on-chain volume occurred outside US stock trading hours. The sharpest figure in this study is this: Over the past seven weekends, the median pricing ratio of bStocks to the subsequent Monday open gap was 92%. In plain language: That gap you thought only happened Monday morning was 90% priced over the weekend. Returning to French and Roll's conclusion from forty years ago: Low volatility during closed hours may never have been due to market calmness. It was because we covered our ears and then said the world was noisy. But let's not overstate it; this is still early stage. bStocks market cap just passed $500 million, accounting for 27% of global tokenized stock market cap. On-chain volume in July was about $7.4 billion, 85% of tokenized stock DEX volume that month. Sounds impressive, but its volume is still only 0.3% of underlying stocks and ETF volume. High growth and extremely low penetration coexist. The meaning is clear: traditional markets have not been replaced; a 24/7 stock market is just beginning to grow. What matters is not the current scale but the migration slope. And one more thing must be said upfront: Leading the reflection does not equal being necessarily correct. Off-exchange forms a reference price, not a commitment. It may be confirmed or overturned by the subsequent open. 7×24 trading expands your freedom to choose time, not a definitive result. Finally, something I've thought about for a long time: We call the first trade of the day the opening price. This term is actually misleading. The opening price is never the first price of the day. It is just the first price allowed to be seen. That bell has been ringing since 1817. It used to signal the start of pricing. Now it increasingly sounds like confirmation. - Data source: Binance Research "Stock Price Discovery Moves On-Chain" July 29, 2026 @binancezh #币安 #TradFi #bStocks
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The lock cylinder of the safe comes with a bug from the factory
今天市场没什么脾气 BTC 在 62700 美元附近躺着 一天涨跌都没超过 1% ETH 也就 1860 上下晃 像极了周二下午不想动的打工人 不涨也不跌 就等着周五非农来敲钟 平静的盘面底下 其实藏着两件让人后背发凉的事 一是冷钱包信仰这两天有点松动 硬件钱包 Coldcard 爆出一个潜伏五年的密钥生成漏洞 一晚上被薅走 594 枚 BTC 全网估算损失七八千万美元 大家一直把冷钱包当成最安全的保险箱 结果发现保险箱的锁芯 出厂那天就带着 bug 这事跟感情很像 你以为最稳的那个人 往往是你从来没检查过的那个人 平时不出事 一出事就是大事 用硬件钱包的朋友 今晚记得去看一眼固件版本 别把全部安全感 押在一个设备上 二是宏观风向偏鹰 美联储上次按兵不动 但已经有三位官员投了加息票 九月加息概率被抬到六成以上 这周数据又特别密集 周三小非农 周五大非农 预期新增八点八万 失业率四点二 明天怎么看 我的想法是 别指望这两天有大行情 62000 到 64000 这个窄区间大概率还要磨 真正的方向得等周五非农出来 数据太热美联储有加息借口 数据太冷又怕衰退 反而是不冷不热的数字最舒服 操作上
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Why is everyone saying Telegram has been removed? The Japanese App Store still has it 😳
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Took a look at the original poster Wasn't the time a year ago? Why is it only now suddenly dug up that the boyfriend is Joe Tsai What does this mean?
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尤可欣
Does anyone understand her look??? It feels very Hong Kong style, high-end TVB vibe
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Don't rush to confess, two people will give you an answer this week
晚间复盘来了 今天的盘面就俩字 温吞 BTC 收在 6.33 万附近 24 小时小涨 1% ETH 站回 1878 涨了 2 个多点 全市场总市值 2.25 万亿 比特币占比还硬在 56.3 说白了就是缩量横盘 大哥躺着 小弟们轮流蹦跶两下 今天 XRP 和波卡生态稍微有点人气 但都不够看 为什么涨不动也跌不狠 因为大家都在等两个人给答案 第一个是 CLARITY 法案 参议院最后的工作日拖到 8 月 7 号 过了这村就放暑假 预测市场只押 30 多的胜率 这事就像谈了很久的婚 双方都点头了 卡在彩礼谈不拢 涉及总统家里那点加密生意的利益冲突条款一直理不清 眼看假期一到 大概率又得再拖半年 第二个是周五的非农就业数据 上次美联储 9 比 3 按兵不动 三个人明牌要加息 鹰味不小 逻辑很直白 数据太热 higher for longer 的剧本继续演 币价就得挨压 数据温和小涨 才是对我们最舒服的结局 所以明天到周四 大概率还是这个温吞水的节奏 别指望有大行情 真正的裁判周五才登场 操作上我的想法是 数据落地前不重仓押方向 留点子弹 谈感情最忌讳的就是前戏就把体力耗光 结果正戏来了你只想
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Daily routine: Online: Lost 200K again today Reality: Can this be 10 yuan cheaper? 🙂
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I was taking photos next to the display cabinet for a long time The kid next to me racked his brain but couldn't figure out what I was shooting…. Has F1 been taken over by the crypto world? A row of three exchanges……
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August is a historically bad month for Bitcoin, but bad doesn't mean hopeless
今天周日 盘子薄得像深夜食堂 没什么客人 比特币收在六万二八附近 一天跌了三个多点 以太坊回到一千八百六十六上下 全网市值缩到两万一千八百亿 主流集体绿了三个点左右 场面不惨 就是有点没精神 跌的原因不复杂 钱像谈恋爱 谁给的确定性多就往谁怀里钻 这两天标普反弹 资金悄悄挪去美股 加上Strategy放风还要继续卖币 稳定的接盘侠又少一个 周末盘薄 一点风吹草动就晃三下 但真正压着大家心情的 是那个每年这时候都要来一次的老朋友 八月魔咒 拉长看过去十五年 八月BTC平均收益 -0.64 中位数 -7.87 是全年唯一中位数为负的月份 说白了它就是个季节性emo的孩子 一到暑假就想躺平 你别指望差生开学第一天就交满分卷 不过差生不代表没救 你得看它补课的位置 上方六万五到七万是必须收复的阻力线 收得回去 这波下行才算翻篇 收不回去 那六万这个坎多半还要下来踩一踩确认一下 明天盯什么 下周美国非农是大考 市场预期新增九万一千人 数据一多波动就放大 美元指数还在九十九九附近横着 数据出来前这种平静 通常是深呼吸 不是没事了 操作上就一句 别跟一个正在emo的月份硬刚 仓位轻的等企稳信号再上