比特帝老默pro
比特帝老默pro
我是一名拥有7年金融经验的交易员 自17年开始从事交易 主要关注以太大饼主流币种！一起加油！
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The promised 1500 followers' short positions have been distributed. Continuing to the next round. 2000 followers will continue to arrange short positions. Comments will be drawn from the comment section! Thank you all for your continuous support! Wishing everyone daily profits in U, long for rise, short for fall, and no action means sideways! $BTC $ETH $SOL #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
The risk of escalation between the US and Iran rises again, Brent crude returns to $100
On October 1, Brent crude surged 4.37% to close at $102.31 per barrel, WTI rose 2.71% to $92.87. Three overlapping factors: a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz was hit and caught fire by an unidentified flying object, at least three tankers were attacked this week; the Pentagon is deploying a third carrier strike group and nearly 10,000 troops to the Middle East, expected to arrive before the end of November; Trump said in an interview with Time magazine that after the midterm elections, there is a "possibility" of increasing strikes against Iran.
But the real contradiction behind the oil price rise is a structural gap. JPMorgan data shows that Middle East crude oil exports have recovered to 98% of pre-war levels, but refined product exports are only 58% of pre-war levels, with diesel and aviation fuel supply tightness unresolved in the short term. The US diesel average price remains at a historic high of $6.40 per gallon.
BTC is currently around 85,500, resistance above at 87,000, support below at 84,500. Positions should set stop-loss below 84,000; empty positions wait for a pullback to 84,500-85,000 to stabilize before entering. Geopolitical risk heating up combined with renewed inflation expectations makes chasing high prices less cost-effective.
What do you think about this wave of oil prices? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+306.94%
Snapshot at 03 Oct 2026, 00:39
#U.S. Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolved
U.S. Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolved
On October 1, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield intraday reached 5.34%, the highest since 2002; the 30-year yield rose to 5.69%, also the highest in 24 years. Even though August's PCE was below expectations, buying momentum did not sustain, and yields rose again afterward—the focus of bond market trading is no longer about whether to raise interest rates.
Three structural forces are driving this. The Middle East conflict is pushing up energy inflation, U.S. public debt has surpassed 40 trillion, and AI infrastructure is generating massive private sector financing demand, leading the market to require higher term premiums. A Goldman Sachs trading desk head bluntly stated that long bonds "are still completely ignored." T. Rowe Price economists point out that these forces are structural and will not disappear quickly.
BTC is currently around 85,000-86,000, briefly touching 86,885 before the employment data release, but the 5.34% yield capped the gains. Resistance is at 87,000, support at 84,500. Some positions have stop-losses below 84,000; empty positions should wait for a pullback to stabilize at 85,000 before entering, avoid chasing highs.
Long-term rates have not peaked, risk appetite is hard to recover. What do you think? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+308.84%
Snapshot at 02 Oct 2026, 23:04
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
US nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 in September, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%
On October 2, US nonfarm payrolls for September increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 90,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. The probability of an interest rate hike in October sharply dropped to nearly 90% chance of no change.
BTC reversed and surged, breaking through the 85,000 sell wall after the data release, reaching as high as 86,913, up nearly 3% in 24 hours, with short liquidations exceeding 122 million. But QCP reminds that this round is driven by spot, with perpetual funding rate only 5.4%, and macro risks remain unresolved.
Key levels: Resistance above at 87,000-87,400, support below at 85,000. Stop loss for positions below 84,500; wait for a pullback to 85,000 to stabilize before entering short positions, do not chase highs.
Cooling employment gives some breathing room, but long-term US Treasury yields remain high. What’s your view? Discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+210.94%
Snapshot at 02 Oct 2026, 21:34
How to handle the Nonfarm Payrolls tonight?
$BTC
#美联储副主席：AI建设正带来新的通胀压力
Federal Reserve Vice Chair: AI development is bringing new inflationary pressures
On October 1, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson warned that the AI boom, rising energy prices, and tariffs are impacting the economy from different directions, with inflation risks still tilted upward. Governor Cook added that data center investments have pushed up electricity and water costs by about 5%, while only a small portion of the $2 trillion in AI capital expenditures pledged by companies has been spent. Productivity gains are a matter for the future, but demand effects are happening now—AI may be "adding fuel to the fire" for inflation.
Market reaction: The probability of a rate hike in October dropped from 70% to below 30%, with the next rate hike postponed to December.
BTC around 83,800, resistance at 85,500, support at 83,000. Positions should set stop-loss below 82,500; empty positions wait for a pullback to 83,000 to stabilize before entering. The AI inflation narrative is a medium-term drag on risk assets, so avoid chasing highs.
What do you think? Discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+166.59%
Snapshot at 02 Oct 2026, 16:26