#SpaceXShortCovering

This morning, SpaceX released its first financial report since going public, with core financial indicators significantly better than market expectations. The AI business loss narrowed more than expected, but AI-related capital expenditures were higher than anticipated. After the earnings release, SpaceX's stock price turned down in after-hours trading. On August 6, SpaceX will also face the unlocking of up to 911.5 million shares, accounting for 20% of the total shares eligible for unlocking. With a "mixed earnings report" and a "hundreds of billions-level massive unlocking" creating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, what do you think about SpaceX's future stock price movement? #财报观察员：业绩喜忧参半，解禁将至！SpaceX后续怎么看？

$SPCX is barely moving this weekend—but Monday could be a different story. The historical pattern is pretty clear: ➡️ Weekend consolidation ➡️ Monday volatility ➡️ Bears try to regain control The 165 zone is the key level to watch. If short sellers’ average cost is around 165, SPCX staying above that area for too long could put increasing pressure on them. But high-entry shorts may already be taking profits, so don't assume every short is trapped. For short-term traders, SPCX is still a dangerous game. The volatility is simply too high for easy risk management. And the unlock? Not completely irrelevant. 📅 Another 3% unlock is expected toward the end of August. Shorts opened around 110 may need to make an important decision within the next 1–2 weeks. Now watch the real battle: Does SPCX keep squeezing higher, or do major holders start selling into strength? #SPCX #财报观察员 #StockMarket

Saturday aur weekend mein $SPCX mein koi significant movement nahi hai. Previous trends ke mutabiq, Saturday aur weekend mein ye consolidate karta hai, phir Monday ke opening par drop karta hai, jahan short sellers ki average cost 165 hai. Agar agle half month mein price 165 tak nahi aata, to short sellers surrender kar sakte hain. Lekin jo log high level par short open kar chuke hain, unke liye ye sirf profit-taking ka phase hai. Short-term traders ko SPCX se door rehna chahiye, kyunki ismein swings kaafi zyada hain aur control karna mushkil hai. Ab kya unlocking SPCX ke market ko affect nahi karti? Not necessarily. Agli 3% unlocking August ke end mein hai. 110 par open ki gayi short positions ko August ke end ya agle 1–2 hafton mein close kiya ja sakta hai. Specifically, ye depend karega ke price continue rise karta hai ya major holders price ko sell karne ke liye upar push karte hain. #财报观察员 #SPCX #SpaceX #Crypto

SpaceX's Rebound Could Be the Signal Crypto Has Been Waiting For Nearly 912 million SpaceX shares were unlocked, and many expected a wave of selling. Instead, the market witnessed the opposite. SpaceX rebounded strongly as selling pressure from employees and early investors proved far weaker than anticipated, while fresh buying and short covering helped fuel the recovery. Solid business momentum and continued optimism around AI further strengthened Wall Street's confidence. What's even more important is that Wall Street and the crypto market are becoming increasingly connected through the same flow of capital. When money rotates back into technology, AI, and semiconductor stocks, investors' appetite for risk typically increases, allowing capital to flow into assets like $BTC and $ETH. Conversely, when U.S. equities come under pressure from higher interest rates or profit-taking, crypto often reacts almost immediately. The reason is simple: both markets are now driven by the same macro forces—Federal Reserve policy expectations, global liquidity, U.S. economic data, and institutional capital flows. Many major investment funds allocate capital to both technology stocks and digital assets, meaning changes in Wall Street sentiment can quickly ripple through the crypto market. That's why SpaceX's rebound is about more than one company. It suggests investors remain willing to buy high-growth assets once major risks have been priced in. If this recovery spreads across the AI and technology sectors, $BTC and $ETH could be among the biggest beneficiaries, especially if additional catalysts emerge from the Fed or continued ETF inflows. If you find this analysis valuable and want to stay ahead of the next major moves connecting Wall Street and crypto, follow me for more updates. #SpaceXUnlockRebound #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest $BTC $ETH

Rocket $SPCX suddenly surged 5 points overnight! Pulled up to $141, short orders at 135.18 directly held up! ⚠️ Risk warning near 141 141 has already stood above the $135 IPO issue price, short-term short squeeze momentum still exists but is very fragile: By December 8, the cumulative unlocked circulating shares ratio may rise to 40% of total shares, with subsequent supply pressure Current short ratio, though diluted, still reaches 16%, once short covering is completed, buying support will weaken Q2 single quarter capital expenditure is $18.4 billion, whether AI commercialization speed can match investment pace is the real mid-to-long-term test Simply put, 141 is not the result of a fundamental change, but a technical squeeze caused by the "crowded shorts + all bad news priced in + passive buying" triple resonance. This kind of surge comes fast and may go away quickly—be cautious chasing highs, focus on actual reduction volume in the following weeks and whether $135 can hold. $BTC $ETH #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound

🚨 I WAS RIGHT AGAIN: DON’T BUY $SPCX YET The biggest trap may be unfolding right now. 911M new shares just hit the market — and price is still holding. Suddenly, everyone thinks the sell-off is over. But that’s exactly when you need to be careful. 👀 Here’s what could actually be happening: • Shorts are taking profits → creating a temporary bounce. • Retail didn’t get the immediate crash they expected → FOMO starts kicking in. • Unlocks rarely crush a stock in a single session → the new supply can gradually get absorbed into the market. This doesn’t necessarily mean strength. It could be the trap before the next leg down. 🎯 MY ROADMAP HASN’T CHANGED: $104 → $120 fake bounce ✅ $120–$125 rejection ✅ Aug. 6 unlock begins adding supply ✅ Break below $100 → NEXT Capitulation toward $75–$85 One thing remains true: You can’t ignore a constant wave of new supply. I’m still sitting in cash. My first buy zone remains around $85. I called the first $SPCX rally. I mapped out this decline before it started. And when I finally start buying, I’ll post it here in real time. If you’re not following yet, you might end up watching the entire move from the sidelines. 👀📉 #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound

📊 SpaceX: Shares Unlocked, But the Stock Rallied 6%. What Happened? The first batch of restricted SpaceX shares has entered the sellable window, with approximately 911.5 million shares potentially available. The market expected the unlock to create selling pressure. Instead, the stock jumped around 6%. At first glance, that looks bullish. But I wouldn't rush to conclude that the unlock risk has already been fully absorbed. 🧠 What Could Be Happening? Before the unlock, bearish expectations were already extremely crowded. High capital expenditure. Large losses. A huge number of shares becoming tradable. That combination gave short sellers plenty of reasons to position for a decline. But when the unlock actually arrived, the expected selling pressure didn't immediately appear. Instead: No immediate selling → price rises → shorts come under pressure → short covering → stop losses triggered → further upside. That's a classic setup for a short squeeze. 🎯 The Real Test Comes Next The important question isn't: “Why did it rise 6%?” It's: “What happens when the short covering ends?” If additional unlocked shares gradually enter the market and the stock starts weakening again, this rally could simply be providing liquidity for sellers. But if the stock absorbs the selling pressure and continues holding higher levels, that's much more meaningful. 📌 My takeaway: The 6% move proves that the bears were positioned aggressively. It does not yet prove that the bulls have won. The next phase of price action will tell us much more. #SpaceX #Stocks #Trading #ShortSqueeze #MarketAnalysis #IPO #StockMarket #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound $BTC

Here’s a shorter, cleaner version: 🚀 SpaceX: Post-Unlock Rally — Bullish or Just a Short Squeeze? SpaceX’s first batch of restricted shares has been unlocked, with around 911.5M shares potentially becoming sellable. The market expected heavy selling, but instead, the stock jumped nearly 6%. This doesn’t necessarily mean the unlock risk has been fully priced in. With high capex, losses, and a massive unlock, bearish positioning was crowded. When selling pressure failed to appear immediately, short covering and stop-losses may have fueled the rally. The real test comes next: 🔹 If selling pressure returns as unlocked shares enter the market, this rally could simply be liquidity for sellers. 🔹 If SpaceX absorbs the selling and holds higher levels, it would suggest the unlock risk is genuinely being digested. For now, the shorts lost the first round — but the bulls haven’t won the battle yet. 👀 #SpaceX #Unlock #ShortSqueeze #Earnings

SpaceX passed its first unlock test, but not yet its valuation test. Shares rose 6.1% to $114.92 on Aug 6 even as up to 911.5M shares became eligible for sale, more than the roughly 638.9M shares sold in its IPO. The rebound followed a nearly 14% drop the previous day, while the stock remains below its $135 offering price. Its first post-IPO earnings report delivered a clear top-line beat: · Revenue reached $7.8B, up more than 90% YoY · Net loss narrowed to $541M, or $0.09 per share, less than half analysts expected · AI revenue reached $2.56B, up 247% YoY SpaceX now reports AI as a core segment following its February acquisition of xAI, bringing xAI, Grok and X into the broader business. But Starlink remains the current revenue engine. The connectivity segment generated $4.29B, up 66% YoY and accounting for more than half of total revenue, while Starlink subscribers doubled to around 12M. The spending side changed the conversation. Total quarterly capex climbed to about $18.3B, with roughly $15.8B directed toward AI infrastructure, more than double the previous quarter and significantly above current quarterly AI revenue. That comparison does not capture the multi-year value of infrastructure, but it shows the scale of the upfront buildout. Investors are increasingly separating rapid AI demand from the cost of delivering it. The unlock also requires context. Shares becoming eligible for sale does not mean all of them were sold on Aug 6. The rebound shows the market absorbed the first day of potential supply, not that selling pressure has disappeared. Aug 6 was only the first staged release. Additional tranches remain under the IPO lockup schedule, while Elon Musk’s shares are subject to a 366-day lockup. The next test is whether Starlink’s revenue base and rapid AI growth can support higher capex before more shares become available. Which signal matters more now: AI revenue converting into stronger margins, or continued absorption of the unlocked supply? #SpaceXUnlockRebound #AIMemoryBullTest

🚀 SpaceX Lockup Expiry: The Real Test Starts Now A lockup expiry can reveal market positioning more clearly than fundamentals alone. SpaceX gained roughly 6% even as up to 911.5M shares became eligible for sale, suggesting investors may have already priced in much of the expected selling pressure. But the bigger challenge remains ahead. 📊 Revenue: ~$7.8B, up ~90% YoY 📉 Net loss: ~$541M 💰 Concern: Rising AI infrastructure spending The rebound gives management more breathing room, but it doesn’t remove the underlying execution challenge. From here, investors will be watching guidance, margins, cash discipline and whether AI + space infrastructure spending translates into sustainable growth. The lockup test may be over — now the execution test begins. Not financial advice, just market analysis. #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound

🚨 $SPCX Defies Expectations After Massive Share Unlock Despite a share unlock worth nearly $100 billion, $SPCX has climbed 25% over the past two trading days. Around 911.5 million shares became eligible for trading yesterday—roughly 1.4 times the company's existing public float. Even with that significant increase in potential supply, the stock continued to move higher. One possible explanation is short-covering. Many traders often open short positions before a major unlock to hedge against selling pressure, then buy back those shares once the event passes. With approximately 34% of the float sold short beforehand, covering activity may have added further momentum to the rally. #PayrollsDropCPIFocus #AIMemoryStressTest #SpaceXUnlockRebound