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Lagarde does not have MiCA licensing authority, yet is rumored to have personally blocked Binance's EU pass?
The Wall Street Journal reported that European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde personally intervened to push Greece to delay Binance's MiCA license approval locally. The report suggests she is concerned that if the world's largest crypto exchange grows bigger, it will deepen the use of dollar stablecoins in Europe, thereby impacting the digital euro and euro-denominated alternatives.
The twist is: MiCA licenses are issued by financial regulators of member states, and approval by one country grants access to the entire EU; the ECB does not have CASP licensing authority. The report states that Greek regulators informed Binance that Lagarde wants to delay until the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) takes over exchange licensing under reforms not yet passed. Binance withdrew its Greek application and scaled back local operations in mid-June; European head Lynch previously told CoinDesk the application was deemed complete with no substantial material deficiencies. WSJ also said ESMA privately advised countries to reject based on historical compliance issues. Binance responded "no comment on speculation," and still claims to actively pursue MiCA authorization; ECB spokesperson declined to comment and reiterated no institutional licensing role.
Regulatory intervention rumors ≠ confirmed administrative orders, withdrawal of application ≠ permanent exit. Compare with OKX spot BTC around 80,700, $BTC BNB following the market.Wow, it directly broke through the previous 2550 barrier and touched 2580, which somewhat opened up the consolidation range.
First, let's talk about the current situation. Right now, short-term sentiment is directly lifted, and Bitcoin is also pulling up, driving ETH to surge together. But be careful, it has only surged up and hasn't firmly held yet. There is considerable selling pressure around 2580; several times before, it was pushed back from this area, with many people waiting here to take profits and exit.
Two short-term scenarios:
1. If it can hold with volume and close above 2580 on the daily chart, the next target is directly 2620-2650. This rebound will be truly underway, and there’s even a chance to reach 2700 following the momentum.
2. If after the surge the momentum fades and it plunges back from 2580, it will likely fall back to the 2500-2530 range and fluctuate there. This would be a false breakout to shake out those chasing the highs.
The most important short-term support is at 2500; this level must not be lost. If it breaks below 2500, this upward surge will be a fakeout, and the market will return to a consolidation and grinding mode.
Some honest advice:
At this price level, don’t chase aggressively in a heat of the moment. The contract market is highly leveraged during the rally phase; rapid rises can be followed by violent drops, with sudden sharp spikes down.
If you already hold positions, you can hold and watch closely whether 2580 can be maintained; if you haven’t entered yet, it’s not recommended to chase the rally directly. Either wait for a pullback or confirm a stable hold before considering entry.
The mid-to-long-term logic hasn’t changed; institutional funds are still slowly accumulating, and the overall trend remains bullish. But short-term correction risks cannot be ignored; after such a rise, a significant retracement can come at any time.
In summary: breaking through resistance favors the bulls, but it’s not completely safe yet. Focus on whether 2580 can hold, with support at 2500.I opened a $LINK long position at 11.766 on 9/17, and today's current price is 12.085.
Interestingly: on 9/14 when selecting targets, LINK was rejected by my own system — the calculated risk-reward ratio was only 1.06, so the conclusion was to wait and see. Four days later, I bought it.
Why did I overturn my own decision? Because the thing I was waiting for happened: on the early morning of 9/17, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25bp to 3.75%–4.00%, with all 12 votes unanimous, and the market had already priced in 92.5% before the decision.
A negative factor priced in at 92.5% ceases to be negative once it materializes.
LINK's reaction: +6.55% on 9/17, +6.09% on 9/18, a total of +13% in two days.
On the downside, I also wrote: the dot plot indicates one more hike this year; the 4H RSI is 70.9, Bollinger Bands position at 104%, already overheated; the weekly structure is still declining.
Long term, I focus on usage: CCIP cumulative cross-chain transfers of $23.32B, 2,672 ecosystem integrations, oracle market share of 63.1%, BitGo exclusively migrated $7.7B of WBTC over. These do not depend on coin price.
$BTC
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 The burn volume directly dropped to zero, $SHIB burned in vain today, yet the coin price rose 5.92%, current price $0.000005.
The burn myth has been told for years, but checking on-chain shows the machine has stopped running. No story but still forcibly pushing the market, what are the manipulators aiming for? In the evening, the US market pushes the price up to change hands, dumping chips to retail investors chasing the hype.
To be frank, Meme coins without new inflows are just meat grinders. Those hoping for a $SHIB rebound should take light positions for short-term trades, set stop losses properly and don’t hold against the trend; those holding spot should hold steady and not get shaken out by spikes.
$SHIB Do you have a position? If yes, press 1; if empty, press 2. Let's organize how to operate:
For Bitcoin, around 80,200, it has returned to the upper edge of the range. The overall direction hasn't changed; until it effectively breaks above about 83,000, treat it as range-bound or a rebound, not a full bull market. Long positions stop loss at 74,000; short positions can be considered above 80,000, stop loss at 83,000. The current price has entered a zone where shorting can be discussed, leaning bearish, but still maintain stop loss and control position size.
For Ethereum, around 2,560. Long positions around 2,450, stop loss at 2,300; short positions around 2,600, stop loss at 2,700, take profit target at 2,500. Bearish bias is valid, but it hasn't reached 2,600 yet; don't chase aggressively if not in position.
For Solana, around 109. Long positions stop loss at 90; short positions still waiting for 120 to 130. The short-term rebound is strong, so wait for the right level, don't chase highs.
For Dogecoin, around 0.087. Only short positions, no longs. Short positions start at 0.09, add at 0.10, stop loss at 0.11. The current price hasn't reached the activation zone, so wait first; don't short prematurely or switch to long.
For Ripple, around 1.37. Long positions stop loss at 1.2; short positions around 1.5, stop loss at 1.7. Bearish bias but not in position yet, observe first.
In summary, after prices rise back into the range, operations shift to bearish bias, but the essence remains range trading. Entry points haven't changed, for altcoins and the main market. Execute only when conditions are met, always carry stop loss; exit if broken, don't hold losing positions. Redraw the range only after a valid breakout.FOUR POSITIONS. ONE RISK.
Long $BTC.
Long $ETH.
Long $DOGE.
Long $ZEC.
Four tickers don’t always mean four independent bets. If they respond to the same liquidity and sentiment, risk can remain concentrated.
Diversification is about risk drivers, not ticker count.
NFA. DYOR#FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #SECCFTCOnchainRules Do you remember that North Korean hacker who got into MetaMask wallets through outsourcing? (Recommended reading: "That Close Call!" An outsourced employee nearly destroyed MetaMask) And that North Korean hacker who was targeted and exposed by fake DeFi companies? (Recommended reading: "Annual Phishing Drama: Fake DeFi Catches the Real North Korean Lazarus Hacker") Like security companies that actively enforce phishing, North Korean hackers are also upgrading their "attack methods," from initial technical vulnerabilities, to later social engineering attacks, and then to joining teams for outsourced projects and joining crypto projects remotely. Recently, their infiltration methods have come up with new tricks: first hiring someone to pass an interview at a crypto company, then personally taking the pledge to join, sneaking in, waiting for the right moment, and ultimately stealing crypto assets and sensitive information through internal technical attacks. A month later, there has been new progress in the war between security companies and North Korean hackers, and a new type of scam has emerged. "Indirect Rescue": Hackers Hire Interviews and Take Over Positions, Ultimately Solely to "Serve the Motherland" Let's first look at the "achievements" of North Korean hackers: According to data from security firm CrowdStrike, by 2025, cryptocurrency losses caused by state-linked hackers and threat actors in North Korea will exceed $2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 51%; The Bank of Korea estimates that despite global joint sanctions, North Korea's GDP growth rate in 2025 will still reach as high as 3.5%. This is currently certain🚨 FOUR TRADES. ONE LIQUIDITY SHOCK. SAME PAIN.
Long $BTC.
Long $ETH.
Long $DOGE.
Long $ZEC.
Looks diversified, right? 👀
But when liquidity dries up, these positions can start moving together — and suddenly, four “different” trades become one big risk.
That’s the trap traders often miss:
More coins ≠ more protection.
Watch the correlation.
Watch the liquidity.
Watch your position size.
🎯 Diversify your risk, not just your portfolio.
#DailyOrbit 4.743%.
The yield on the US 2-year Treasury note is the highest since July 2024.
My first reaction when I saw this number wasn’t macroeconomic—it was, "Oh no, I can’t even beat the Treasury bonds."
I quickly did the math: 4.7% on a two-year, risk-free, just lying there. Meanwhile, I’m holding $BTC, $ETH, and altcoins, and after a year, my account curve looks like an ECG, possibly ending in a loss.
The most annoying part is that this number is still going up. Rising yields mean someone is willing to borrow money at higher interest rates, which also means the market is betting the Fed won’t ease up. In theory, money from risk assets should be moving that way.
But the market hasn’t panicked yet.
So either the crypto crowd really isn’t paying attention to Treasuries, or they just haven’t realized it yet.
I lean toward the latter.
Don’t rush to bottom-fish yet; with risk-free rates sitting there, no one’s money is just blowing in the wind.
This round, retail investors should stand aside first.
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC
Last night, ZEC experienced a short-term volume surge with unusual movement, and my entry judgment was off.
A single trade resulted in a bloody loss, causing sleeplessness all night 😔
After calming down and reviewing, I realized the problem wasn't with the candlestick chart but with myself.
Mistake one: Replacing the trading plan with subjective judgment.
When the market moved unusually, I prematurely decided on a direction.
The entry timing was very rushed; I didn't wait for confirmation signals. Small-cap coins have strong short-term randomness, and volume-driven rallies are often false breakouts.
Mistake two: Risk control was not properly executed.
Under high leverage, I hadn't set stop-loss properly. Holding onto the mindset of "waiting a bit longer to break even," the losses just kept growing.Brothers, others laugh at me for being too crazy, but I laugh at them for not seeing through it. $ZEC has left me looking rough!
I finally found confidence in this ONE trade!
This short on ONE really paid off. Entry average price was 0.0016915, now the mark price is 0.0014684, a return of +40.14%! This short feels great.
Why did this short work?
First, the order book gave the signal early. Buy orders are 62% versus sell orders at 38%, it looks like the bulls have the advantage, but the price just can't push up. Why? Because the surge in ONE is essentially a "doomsday wheel" hype—the project was hacked in August, 4 billion tokens were minted out of thin air, and the chain was about to shut down. The fundamentals have long been rotten, it's purely emotional pumping, the whales pump the price just to find someone to dump on.
Second, the funding rate is still negative. Negative funding means there are way too many shorts, the short crowding is maxed out. But the price is falling instead of rising, which means the shorts are starting to exert power. At this point, following the shorts is going with the trend.
Third, the technicals show a spike and pullback. ONE was pulled up from the bottom with a huge increase, seriously overbought. Although the 1-hour chart shows bullish moving averages, the price is clearly deviating from the averages, so a pullback is inevitable.
What next?
I’m holding my short, stop loss set above 0.0017, target first at 0.0014, if broken then 0.0012. This kind of "dead public chain" rebound rises fast but falls even faster, once the whales start selling, no one can catch the fall.
Brothers, are you following this move?
$BTC
$ETH
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% 🚨 $USELESS / $PONS — DON’T GET CAUGHT IN THE MIDDLE
$USELESS is sitting around $0.26 after bouncing hard from $0.21 → $0.27. Now it’s cooling off.
The levels are simple: 🎯 $0.28 first
🔥 $0.33 = weekly high
⚠️ Lose $0.23, and $0.21 comes back into play. That’s my invalidation.
$PONS is still stuck in a range. I want to see the local high reclaimed and held before getting aggressive.
one red day after a wick doesn’t automatically mean SHORT. Let the structure confirm it.
#DailyOrbit $SOL reported at $110, up 8.16% in 24 hours. I read this push notification three times.
After watching for a long time, you realize that the increase itself doesn't explain anything. The real question is who is buying: spot traders, leveraged contract traders, or passive index rebalancing.
The sustainability of these three types of funds is completely different. The first two come and go quickly, only the third leaves a trace.
Currently, we can only confirm the price, not the buying structure. The next step is to watch the perpetual funding rate and exchange net inflows. If the funding rate turns negative and inflows increase, it indicates this wave is driven by leverage.
Then the question arises: among the bullish people, how many really understand what they are betting on?
#摩根大通称比特币或跑赢黄金
#全球高利率预期再升温 #长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ $SOL #SEC and CFTC Clarify On-Chain Financial Compliance Path
SEC and CFTC clarify the on-chain financial compliance path; after CLARITY was blocked, regulation did not stop.
After the CLARITY Act failed to pass in the Senate, the market originally feared that U.S. crypto regulation would fall back into uncertainty.
But now a new development has emerged:
Congressional legislation is temporarily stalled, and regulatory agencies are starting to move forward on their own.
In March this year, the SEC and CFTC further delineated the boundaries of digital assets under securities and commodities regulatory frameworks through joint interpretations and regulatory coordination; the two agencies also signed a memorandum of cooperation aimed at reducing regulatory overlap and providing a more unified compliance framework for the digital asset market. 
The latest move is even more direct.
On September 17, the SEC launched a five-year exemption mechanism for on-chain trading of tokenized stocks, providing a limited compliance path for qualified trading platforms and liquidity providers.
Simply put:
Traditional stocks → Tokenization → Blockchain trading → Operating under the U.S. regulatory framework.
But this is not a "full DeFi opening."
The SEC set clear conditions, including that tokens must represent real stocks and retain shareholder rights such as dividends and voting identical to traditional stocks; "synthetic tokens" that merely track stock prices without representing actual equity are not covered by the exemption. 
The CFTC is also advancing in parallel.
Recently, the CFTC further expanded regulatory exemptions for certain software service providers, allowing qualified software to connect users with regulated derivatives markets without requiring direct registration as brokers. 
The logic behind this is very clear:
It is not about excluding on-chain finance from the traditional financial system,
but rather:
Incorporating on-chain finance into the traditional financial regulatory system.
What does this mean for the entire industry?
In the future, it may gradually form:
SEC → On-chain securities, tokenized stocks, etc.
CFTC → Commodities and derivatives markets
Trading platforms → Responsible for registration, trade monitoring, and investor protection according to function
Blockchain → Gradually transforming from a "regulatory gray area" into compliant financial infrastructure.
This is also why, although CLARITY was blocked, U.S. crypto regulation has not truly stalled.
It can even be said that in the short term, an interesting change has occurred:
CLARITY is responsible for "legislating the framework,"
SEC/CFTC are responsible for "running the rules under existing laws first."
Of course, administrative exemptions and interpretations have limited long-term stability compared to formal congressional legislation.
But for the market, at least a very clear signal has been sent:
U.S. regulators are not prepared to keep financial activities off-chain but are studying how to compliantly move financial markets on-chain.
If tokenized stocks, on-chain settlement, on-chain derivatives, and compliant DeFi gradually expand in the future, the real beneficiaries may not be just BTC.
RWA, stablecoins, trading platforms, custody, on-chain clearing, and public chain infrastructure could all become the next phase of policy beneficiaries.
In short: CLARITY is stuck at congressional legislation, but the SEC and CFTC are continuing to advance using existing authority; the main line of U.S. crypto regulation is shifting from "whether to allow on-chain finance" to "how to make on-chain finance operate compliantly." $BTC Bitcoin is holding around $76.6K, up about 1.15% over 24h.
What stands out is the active two-way flow. OKX recorded several large BTC buys, including a $1.67M order around $77.5K, but also a larger $1.47M sell around $77.5K.
That tells me buyers are active, but sellers are still defending the upper range.
For $BTC , I’m watching whether $77K+ can turn from resistance into support.
No rush. Let price confirm the next move.#美联储10月再加息概率破55% $BTC 21:00—22:00： 价格从 7.8万 → 8万+ 成交量放大约 10 倍。 消息可以骗人。 量价很难装。 今天我做对的一件事： 没有因为“加息”两个字追空。 明天只盯一个东西： 8万， 能不能从阻力变成支撑。 如果回踩，你敢接吗？ #BTC #比特币 #趋势交易#美联储10月再加息概率破55% Tonight mainstream assets collectively surge, BTC rises over 5%, ETH rises over 4%, but if you look again, the probability of a rate hike in October still breaks 55%. Isn't this picture quite contradictory?
Many people don't understand and think that with rising rate hike expectations, risk assets should fall. But the market trading logic has long changed. Now it's not about "whether to hike or not," but "how much more can rates be hiked." The dot plot shows most officials expect at least one more hike this year, but the market knows clearly this is the last stretch, with terminal rates around 4%, and very limited room to go higher. Since the tightening cycle is nearing its end, funds dare to jump ahead.
More importantly, Trump and White House advisors have been publicly pressuring against rate hikes. If the Fed can't withstand political pressure and hikes anyway, it will make the market question its independence, damage the dollar's credit, and funds will flow to BTC and gold as hedges. Tonight's surge is essentially a dual pricing of the "end of tightening" and "dollar credit risk."
As for why ETH also rose, it's simple: it had fallen too much before, short positions piled up heavily, so when the price moves up, it triggers a chain of liquidations, a classic oversold rebound plus short squeeze.
My stance is clear: this rally is emotional repair and short covering, not a trend reversal. The probability of a rate hike remains; if there really is a hike in October, the market will still fluctuate. @OKX星球 $BTC $ETH Brothers, I know this script well! Despite a cluster of negative news, no crash happened; the market directly exploded in the opposite direction
Brothers, I know this script well—interest rate hikes landed, the bill faced setbacks, and the whole network was waiting for a deep crash.
The result was completely unexpected:
$BTC powered up in place, surging to challenge the 78,000 mark; ETH stood above 2,600, altcoins rose across the board, shorts were liquidated en masse, and bulls enjoyed a wild celebration.
The core logic in one sentence: when all the bad news is out, that’s the biggest good news.
A 25bp rate hike? The market had priced in a 92% probability beforehand, already digested early.
The CLARITY bill falling short of expectations? The lingering uncertainty was resolved, which actually removed the policy overhang suppressing the market.
When all the bad news is out in the open, the market finds no motivation to keep crashing.
More importantly, institutional funds keep flowing in:
BlackRock bought about $1.57 billion ETH over 20 days, and BTC ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $159 million. Long-term holders locked in their chips, while those selling at a loss were mostly short-term panic sellers.
Old trading saying: if it’s not supposed to fall, it will surely rise big.
The longer the sideways consolidation, the stronger the subsequent rally. Short-covering adds fuel to the momentum.
📌 Current strategy: hold core positions, avoid selling out midway
BTC holds support at 76,500, with targets at 78,000–80,000;
$ETH defends the key 2,500 level, breaking 2,700 will open a new upward phase.
Leverage positions should reduce risk and manage controls; spot holdings require patience.
The bull market won’t end because of a single rate hike announcement. Big moves often arise amid divergence; when everyone agrees on optimism, that’s often the stage top.
Others fear, I’m greedy; others doubt, I’m firm. This round, let’s ride together to new highs 🚀 Position sizing is part of the strategy.
$BTC can support a larger core position, while $ETH may deserve a smaller allocation until flows show stronger confirmation.
$DOGE and $ZEC are more speculative satellite plays. If these smaller positions become too large, one sharp move can erase a week of gains.
High volatility is not the same as high conviction.
Control the size. Protect the portfolio.
NFA. DYOR.
#FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve $CNPY Did nothing, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me.
Yesterday afternoon, while everyone was still watching cautiously, CNPY was consolidating at the bottom, retesting and holding steady, buying pressure grew stronger, and funds quietly entered. I had already taken a bullish stance; my long position idea didn’t change, just waiting for this confirmation. This move isn’t based on guessing but on signals from the market.
From 0.2452 to 0.5453, +2453.5% directly realized, this profit feels good, the timing was right, the wait was worth it.
I took profit on 75%, pocketed the bulk, and kept 25% at cost price as protection. If it continues to rise, I hold; if it pulls back, I’m not worried. Don’t be greedy for the last bit.
Don’t lose patience in the choppy market and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Hold as long as the trend is intact; if it breaks, exit. Don’t fall in love with your position size.
Now is not the time to rush. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, watch for new structures to emerge. There will be more opportunities later. If you miss out, don’t chase; missing out doesn’t mean losing.
$ADA $SOL Let's take a look at the Ripple part.
The current price is about 1.37, also returning to the upper-middle range of the interval. The market rhythm still follows the overall market, with no conditions for an independent bullish reversal.
The price level hasn't changed. The long position stop loss remains at 1.2; the short position waits until about 1.5, with a stop loss at 1.7. Currently, the operation is biased bearish, but the current price hasn't reached the short position level yet, so just observe for now—don't short aggressively if not at the level. For existing long positions, keep the stop loss at the original level for management.
Take profit depends on the high end of the range and personal style. If the stop loss isn't hit, you can continue holding; if hit, exit the position. For new positions, always set a stop loss before entering, do not chase highs or average down.
Still within the range, the approach remains unchanged. Execute at the right time; this is more stable than rushing to place orders now.🎯 FOUR TICKETS. ONE RISK.
Long $BTC .
Long $ETH .
Long $DOGE .
Long $ZEC.
It may look diversified on the portfolio screen, but if all four respond to the same liquidity and macro conditions, they can behave like one large risk position.
Diversification is about different sources of risk, not simply owning more tickers.
When correlation rises, position sizing matters more.
NFA. DYOR.The CORE community is in an uproar: some are all in for ten-thousand-fold gains, while others are bearish, expecting a total collapse. Setting aside FOMO, let's objectively review the life-and-death situation of the BTCFi path.
⚠️ Risk Warning: This is only a fundamental review of the sector and does not constitute any investment advice.
Open the CORE community now, and you will find two extremely polarized voices.
The bulls firmly believe: BTCFi is the biggest narrative of this bull market, CORE is backed by Bitcoin's computing power and the launch of lstBTC, with potential for ten-thousand-fold gains in the future, choosing to go all in and lay in wait;
The bears directly declare: the 8.31 vulnerability plus 69 million ghost tokens looming overhead means the token's value capture is inherently flawed, leading to chronic long-term depletion and eventual zeroing out.
On one side is the fantasy of hundred-fold wealth, on the other is doomsday-style bearishness. Both extreme views carry strong emotions. Stepping out of FOMO, we objectively review the BTCFi sector and CORE's life-or-death dilemma.
1. The bulls' underlying logic: BTCFi, an incremental story in the crypto world
Bulls bet on CORE mainly because they are optimistic about the long-term potential of the BTCFi sector:
1. Bitcoin's stock is huge, with a large amount of BTC lying dormant in cold wallets without any yield. BTCFi gives Bitcoin the ability to generate yield, activating these sleeping BTC assets, which is a real market demand.
2. CORE focuses on the Satoshi Plus consensus, leveraging Bitcoin's computing power for security. After lstBTC goes live, institutional custody BTC can enter the ecosystem for staking and yield. Once institutional funds enter on a large scale, TVL will explode.
3. Institutional research news is continuous, with BitGo and Copper custody integration. Narratively, it is a core target in the BTCFi sector. Bull market funds will prioritize mining BTC ecosystem assets, with huge valuation upside potential.
The bulls' core assumption: infrastructure landing will bring massive incremental BTC funds, and token valuation will explode with the sector.
But this assumption requires multiple hard conditions to be met simultaneously; it cannot be fulfilled by narrative alone.
2. Bears' core arguments: three major deadlocks, hard to resolve
Bears do not deny the BTCFi sector but are pessimistic about the CORE token itself, citing three major flaws:
1. 69 million ghost tokens looming overhead
Due to the 8.31 reward mechanism vulnerability, 69 million CORE tokens had already left the contract before the hard fork. The hard fork can only prevent future over-issuance but cannot recover tokens already out. There is no on-chain verifiable lock-up or burn plan. Every rally risks large holders dumping in batches, capping valuation.
2. Tokenomics inherently misaligned
Staking BTC yields BTC, while CORE is merely a certificate to boost staking APY. An increase in BTC staking TVL does not automatically create rigid buy pressure for CORE.
Meanwhile, the base inflation mechanism remains, with validator nodes and ecosystem incentives continuously issuing CORE. The more active the ecosystem, the more new tokens are supplied. The ecosystem earns BTC, but CORE holders bear inflation dilution.
3. Historical trust blemish at the protocol level
A major design flaw in the underlying reward mechanism required an emergency hard fork. For BTC institutional funds valuing asset security, this incident is a permanent risk control penalty. Institutional research focuses on infrastructure, not necessarily on buying CORE tokens.
Bears' conclusion: the sector is good, but the token's value capture has hard flaws, making it a good story but a poor token, with long-term valuation continuously eroding.
3. The BTCFi sector itself also has inherent life-and-death contradictions
Many confuse sector dividends with individual project tokens. The BTCFi sector itself carries natural contradictions:
- Native BTC users highly value asset security and dislike risk, with much lower tolerance for contracts, cross-chain, and staking than Ethereum users; once a security incident occurs, trust recovery takes a very long time.
- BTCFi projects generally face the same problem: BTC assets generate yield, but it is difficult to pass that yield to the native token.
Many BTCFi protocols can operate, but their tokens lack stable cash flow support, with prices highly dependent on bull market sentiment, driven by narrative.
The sector will produce winners, but not necessarily CORE. Competitors like STX, MERL, Babylon in the same sector face fierce competition.
4. Zhang Sufen's contrarian evaluation of CORE
Zhang Sufen's first stock-picking principle: clean fundamentals, avoiding irreversible major risks.
CORE is in the BTCFi main sector, deeply down, with narrative flexibility;
But the protocol's vulnerability history, 69 million ghost tokens looming, and perpetual inflation are three major flaws, making fundamentals not clean.
✅ Positioning: a narrative option, a very small position for speculative play, strictly no heavy long-term holding.
Only suitable for speculating on the short-term pulse from lstBTC launch; once large ghost tokens are detected moving to exchanges, or lstBTC institutional funds fall short of expectations, exit decisively, refuse to hold long-term waiting for recovery.
5. Four hard-core indicators to judge CORE's life-or-death direction
1. Ghost token movements: whether on-chain burn/lock governance proposals are issued, whether large addresses continuously transfer to exchanges;
2. lstBTC landing quality: distinguish real institutional custody BTC staking scale, excluding retail-inflated TVL;
3. Ecosystem self-sustainability: fees + protocol buybacks, can they continuously hedge token inflation selling pressure;
4. BTCFi sector fund rotation, sector competitor comparison, whether funds continuously tilt toward CORE.
Summary
The BTCFi sector is indeed one of the most noteworthy narratives in this bull market, with long-term opportunities.
But sector opportunity ≠ CORE token opportunity.
The bulls' ten-thousand-fold expectation requires multiple positive factors all to be realized, a very high bar; the bears' zero valuation is extremely pessimistic, the project's infrastructure is still operating and will not quickly zero out, but likely will fall into long-term chronic valuation erosion.
Do not be swayed by extreme community rhetoric on both sides, stay away from FOMO, only look at verifiable on-chain hard data. Data fulfillment is true good news; stories alone are just emotional hype.
💬 Interactive question: Do you think the BTCFi sector can eventually produce a trillion-yuan market cap project? Does CORE have a chance to become the sector leader? Welcome to leave comments and discuss.BTC pulled from 76217 to 80980 today, now at 80560. What will happen tomorrow? I'll make a plan.
Optimistic: 80000 holds, continue pushing to 81000 or even 82000. Pessimistic: 80000 doesn't hold, drop back to 79000.
My response: Buy near 80000, stop loss at 79800, target 81000. If it breaks below 79800 directly, stay out and watch, then reconsider at 79000. Small position of 5000U.
Losing 200,000U taught me: don't watch the market at night, set conditional orders and sleep. Prediction is not important, just execute when the time comes. Never hold a position without a stop loss. $BTC #美联储10月再加息概率破55% This time I bought quite a bit of $ROBO
This morning, I started buying ROBO around $0.0083. This position is much larger than what I usually take with small-cap coins.
$ROBO has reached a high of $0.0093 and is currently around $0.0091. The short-term gain isn't really the main point.
The reason I'm willing to increase my position is clear: Fabric isn't just creating another AI chat tool, but rather enabling payments, identity, and service settlements between robots. RoboPay is already live, allowing developers to have robots charge directly for tasks.
And ROBO's current scale is still very small.
If AI continues to evolve from models and agents to physical robots in the coming years, robots taking tasks, collecting payments, and settling accounts will be a very natural demand.
I bought more ROBO this time to get ahead in this sector.🚨 BTC IS BACK AT A LEVEL THAT MATTERS.
Bitcoin has reclaimed its Summer 2024 lows relative to the S&P 500. 📊
And last time this zone was reclaimed, BTC went on a strong recovery run.
Now the real test begins: can Bitcoin hold it? 👀
If this reclaim stays intact, BTC could be signaling that it’s ready to start outperforming equities again.
No hype. No guessing.
Watch the level. If it holds, the narrative can follow. 🔥
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #FedOctHikeOddsHit
#DailyOrbit Single-day surge of 24.2%, volume ratio 4.53x: I won't chase STRK for now
$STRK surged 24.2% in one day, with volume ratio expanding to 4.53 times. Current price is 0.0348. My strategy is to buy the dip on pullbacks, not to chase the highs.
24h range: 0.0275–0.0365, RSI 53.5 neutral, fear-greed index 56.
(My judgment) The spike and subsequent pullback is a shakeout, not a top; buy the dip on pullbacks.
(Bullish logic) First, trading volume is 12.72 million USDT, 4.53 times the 30-day average volume; second, BTC at 80510 (+4.83%) is in an offensive phase, with 74 out of 83 coins rising, median increase 6.48%; third, fee rate 0.005%, long-short ratio 2.06, leverage is not stacked.
Resistance above: 0.0365 (24h high, only consider new highs if volume breaks above this)
Support below: 0.0304 (first pullback level) → 0.0295 (lower bound for dip buying)
Watershed level: 0.0295, holding this supports continuation to 0.0365; breaking below is just a pulse.
(Conclusion) A pullback to 0.0295–0.0304 is more likely first. Do not chase at 0.0348, buy the dip at 0.0295–0.0302, cut losses if it breaks below 0.0295, take profits if volume breaks above 0.0365.
Stay tuned, I'll call out the next move immediately.
$STRK $BTC🎯 FOUR TICKETS. ONE RISK.
Long $BTC.
Long $ETH.
Long $DOGE.
Long $ZEC.
It may look diversified on the portfolio screen, but if all four respond to the same liquidity and macro conditions, they can behave like one large risk position.
Diversification is about different sources of risk, not simply owning more tickers.
When correlation rises, position sizing matters more.
#FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #SECCFTCOnchainRules BTC rose from 76000 to 80560, up 4000 points. Haven't gotten on board yet?
Don't worry. I'm just like you, I didn't catch this big wave today either. But I don't regret it—I've learned enough lessons from chasing the rise and getting stuck.
Now at 80560, resistance at 81000, support at 80000. My approach: wait for a pullback near 80000 to buy in, a small position of 5000U, stop loss at 79800. It's okay to miss this ride; the market always has the next one.
Losing 200,000U taught me: missing out doesn't lose money, chasing the wrong move does. Take it slow. Never hold a position without a stop loss. $BTC #Short squeezes will push $ZEC even higher, but the higher it goes, the closer the top gets.
Garrett Jin's $2,631 liquidation price is very likely the ultimate magnet for this Zcash rally.
The market has a strong incentive to pull the price to this level—not to liquidate him, but to liquidate all shorts at the point of maximum pain.
When the last short is taken out, that's when the bulls start trampling each other.$G surged 100%, who's really grabbing it this time?
$G is really strong this round, at one point in 24H it rose over 100%, shooting from around 0.004 directly up to about 0.0085, with a 7-day increase close to 80%. On the surface, it looks like a breakout, but in reality, funds have already treated it as a hot target to grab.
This time there is indeed its own catalyst: Gravity announced on September 17th that its testnet connected to Chainlink CCIP, and the market quickly hyped up the "cross-chain infrastructure" story.
The 24H trading volume is close to $300 million, while CoinGlass data shows contract trading around $219 million and open interest about $33.66 million, indicating a large amount of leveraged funds have entered this wave.
I'm currently bullish, but definitely not chasing the first big green candle. $G has already moved from "no one watching" to "everyone is watching." The most important thing next is whether the spot can continue to hold after a pullback. If the pullback happens with reduced volume and open interest drops but still holds steady, the trend has a chance to continue; if the price keeps surging and both open interest and contract volume go crazy together, then be cautious—at that point, what you might be buying is no longer Gravity, but someone else's liquidity.Let's take a look at the Dogecoin part.
The current price is about 0.087, and the price has rebounded, but we still need to follow the original rules and not switch to going long just because of a short-term green.
Currently, only short positions are taken on this coin, no longs. The short position logic remains the same: start at 0.09, add at 0.10, stop loss at 0.11. The current price has not yet reached the short position trigger zone; bearish bias is possible, but do not force a short prematurely if conditions are not met.
With higher volatility, position sizing and stop loss are even more important. If the price hasn't reached the planned entry zone, stay out and wait; once entered, always set a stop loss—if broken, exit immediately, no reversing or averaging down.
The key levels haven't changed; what has changed is the current price. Waiting for the right position is more important than rushing to trade. A few days ago, Yili Hua said that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, BTC might first drop below 76,000, then fluctuate before rising again.
Looking back now, this trend has basically played out.
His view today is also very straightforward: before the trend ends, he won't easily exit due to interim negative news or pullbacks.
However, I pay more attention to the direction he mentioned later.
This round, he is more optimistic about trading infrastructure and on-chain finance because these have real demand; on the other hand, he thinks it's best to avoid pure narrative plays, rebranded projects, or copycat tokens following popular projects.
I tend to agree with this.
When the market is good, stories are easy to tell, but in the end, it depends on whether people use it and if it can generate real income. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $SOL longs mostly at the peak, holding on for a year only to cut losses and exit. Undoubtedly a top-tier contrarian beacon. After reviewing the settlement records, I'm truly speechless—this is a textbook example of contrarian trading, perfectly illustrating: longs in the stratosphere, shorts in the basement. $SOL long position｜Full margin 50x Opened at 249, closed at 100, holding 15.9 coins, actual loss 2338 $USDT. Successfully unlocked the $SOL long-term peak sightseeing package, standing guardBearish for the sixth day, BTC broke 80,000, short positions got liquidated. I admit defeat but my principal is intact.
Checked the market at 10:30 PM, BTC directly surged above 80,000.
My 100x short was opened at 78,007, now the mark price is 80,742.
Floating loss of 350 points, my face is bruised.
Just a couple of days ago I was still bearish, today the market voted with its feet.
I admit defeat but won’t cry over it. Small position, no damage to principal.
Breaking down why the surge tonight:
US Treasury yields broke 5%, Morgan Stanley calls for more rate hikes. Normally this should suppress risk assets.
But the market didn’t fall, it rose, indicating the market is betting that the bad news is priced in and rate hikes will be limited.
From the liquidity side, US stocks pre-market and crypto surged, BTC broke resistance, ETH also strengthened.
Technically, resistance was broken through, shorts forced to cover, fueling this rally.
My judgment:
No chasing longs now, no adding shorts.
Keep the short open, decide based on pullback strength.
If it keeps surging, I’ll find a stop-loss point, admit the mistake and exit.
If it pulls back below 80,000, then see if there’s a chance to cut losses.
Never hold stubbornly, never add to average down.
Small position test, admit mistakes, come back next time.
Did you catch this rally tonight?
Raise your hand if you have short positions—are you cutting or holding?
If you’re out of position, say something too, let’s chat in the comments.
$BTC $ZEC This market, frankly speaking, can be summed up in one sentence — the more aggressively it charges, the harder it falls. Current price is 1,462, down 1.26% in 24 hours. Yesterday it even touched 1,534.87, but quickly got pushed down to 1,342.83, nearly a $200 drop within the day. However, looking at a longer timeframe, the 180-day gain is still 564.99%, firmly holding its position as a star coin this year.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, something feels off. The price has dropped below MA5, MA10, and MA20 (1,477-1,492), short-term moving averages are starting to turn down, and a bearish alignment is beginning to form. The lower Bollinger Band is at 1,447.62, and the current price of 1,462 is just brushing against the lower band. If it breaks below, the next levels to watch are 1,400 and even 1,342.
My judgment: ZEC is currently undergoing a wide-range consolidation at a high level, so don’t rush to catch the falling knife. The first support zone is between 1,400-1,420; if broken, look toward 1,340. On the upside, it needs to reclaim 1,500 before we can talk about a bullish reversal. Those holding should consider taking profits in batches; those without should wait for a stable pullback before entering. With this kind of volatility, be satisfied once you’ve made it through the middle phase — don’t be greedy for the last bite.
This is my personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice.
$BTC $ETH
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进
#SEC与CFTC明确链上金融合规路径 Unrealized gains don't count as profit; only taking profits counts as making money.
With this wave of ZEC, I took profits. The final account return rate settled at over 800%. The moment I hit sell, I actually felt at ease.
At the peak of unrealized gains before, the return rate was even more exaggerated. It's not false to say I was tempted. But I kept telling myself: unrealized gains don't count as profit; only taking profits counts as making money. Before cashing out, it's just a number on the screen; if the market shakes, it might disappear.
Although this 800%+ wasn't sold at the highest point, it is truly my profit. Didn't sell at the peak? No problem. The market always has the next bus; only the profits you can take away are truly yours.
ZEC might still rise later, and I might regret it, but at least this time, I wasn't led by greed. The hardest part of trading isn't buying, it's selling; it's not about having made money before, but how much you can keep in the end.
Turn unrealized gains into balance, turn excitement into discipline. Remember: unrealized gains are the market lending you a view; taking profits is the market giving to you.
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #SEC与CFTC明确链上金融合规路径 Let's take a look at the Solana section.
The current price is about 109, with a considerable short-term rebound, but the price still remains within the set range, so there is no condition that requires redrawing the framework. Altcoins continue to follow the overall market trend, with no independent market movement.
The key levels haven't changed. The long position stop loss remains at 90; the short position resistance zone is still between 120 and 130. Do not short aggressively unless the price reaches this zone. Currently, the outlook is bearish, but there is still room before reaching the short position zone. Observe and wait for the right position; do not open positions driven by emotions.
Position size is recommended to be small, and stop loss should be set in advance. Take profit should be based on the upper range and personal acceptance; if the stop loss is hit, exit the position without averaging down or adding to losing positions.
Still within the range, the approach remains unchanged. Act when the time comes; this is more important than forcing trades now. $BTC $ETH $SNDK were really pressured today by SanDisk and Bitcoin, truly standing in the middle resisting pressure from both sides is tough. The biggest mistake I made was today's short position on SanDisk—not that shorting was wrong, but the position size was. I originally planned to open a 3%-5% position, but impulsively opened 25%, with liquidation at 1730, 50x leverage. At the same time, I also had a short on Bitcoin at 76500, but that position was light, so I planned to add more shorts between 79300-79600 if it held.
My plan for SanDisk was to cut losses if it went above 1730 and got liquidated; I was gambling on that. If SanDisk had a light position, I would have looked to exit between 1660-1680 with a small loss, which I could accept.
But unexpectedly, Bitcoin also surged 5-6%, with a volatility over 5000 points today, which dropped SanDisk's liquidation line from 1735 to 1688. I had no choice but to cut losses at 1670. This loss caused Bitcoin's forced liquidation line to plummet rapidly to 80720. I should have been calm and flexible, but ended up rushing and scrambling. Now with Bitcoin pulling up, I’m still only watching for a rebound. With the liquidation line further away, I can watch carefully for a couple of days. If it firmly holds above 80000, I’ll look for a chance to cut losses. Multi-line, multi-battle trading is like this; I’ve suffered losses many times.
Learned a lot, feeling calm.
Neither longs nor shorts are wrong; both have opportunities, it just depends on whether you give yourself a chance. #美联储10月再加息概率破55% A rate hike usually sorts small caps into two piles: those with cash-flow plumbing and those without. This week's stress test of four low-cap tokens produced a rare split — and the ranking was not decided by narrative, but by what sits behind the price. $HYPE near 79 took the least damage. The buyback mechanism is the reason: 97% of protocol revenue is contractually routed to repurchases, and the token had already slid from 89.65 as revenue fell for four consecutive quarters. The 77.5 level is tBTC surged today to about $80,800, just one step away from the early September high of around $82,200. My subjective judgment: the probability of a valid breakout and holding above the upper range in the next week is about 40%–50%.
The key is not piercing $82,200 intraday, but closing above it on the daily chart and still holding after a pullback. If it spikes up but falls back near $80,000, beware of a false breakout. Next, I will watch whether the price can hold steady and whether ETF funds can continue to flow in.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #比特币BTC has reached 80,000! It has risen all the way from 76,000, a gain of over 4,000 points.
Many are shouting to push to 90,000 or 100,000. I don't guess; I only watch the resistance at 81,000. It's currently at 80,560, just over 400 points away from 81,000.
My approach: reduce positions near 81,000, then buy back after a pullback to 80,000. A small position of 5,000U. No chasing, no greed.
Losing 200,000U taught me: integer price levels are the easiest points for pullbacks. Reaching 80,000 doesn't mean it will keep rising; take profits first. Never hold a position without a stop loss. $BTC #美联储10月再加息概率破55% Finally, no need to update "lost a little less today" for Bitcoin anymore 😅 Bought long at 78,840, screenshot taken at 80,779, this contract's unrealized profit +245.94%, still not closed, the 82,000 take profit hasn't moved.
ETF also showed some cooperation here. According to Farside data, on September 17, the US Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of about $160 million, with BlackRock's IBIT net inflow about $184 million. At least some funds have come back in, which is one reason I remain bullish.
But there's a detail here: the amount flowing into IBIT alone is more than all products combined, indicating other products are still in net outflow. Also, the inflow on this day hasn't yet made up for the outflows on the 15th and 16th. So I prefer to see this as buying starting to warm up, rather than interpreting it as "institutions fully returning to grab positions." Whether more products follow up is more worth watching than just a single day's number.
Back to this position, now there's only about 1.5% price space left to 82,000. I have to ask myself: for this remaining stretch, how much unrealized profit am I willing to give back? If it can hold above 80,000, I'm willing to wait; if it falls back again and the rebound can't hold, then I'll consider taking some off the table first. Can't let waiting for take profit turn into waiting just to break even again.
When I was stuck before, I always felt the market owed me a rally. Now that I'm recovering, I realize how long I held and how hard it was aren't reasons for how much it should rise later. $BTC 82,000 was the original planThe reason for $BTC $ETH's rise tonight, in my opinion
The biggest change: the market has started to "trade as if all bad news is priced in"
1. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes
2. The CLARITY Act in the US Senate is blocked
But BTC did not continue to drop significantly after these news events; instead, it returned to the $77,000–$78,000 range
This creates a very important trading logic in the market:
All the bad news is out, but the price can't fall further.
So those who were short begin to close their positions, forming reverse buying pressure.
Another point worth noting is
BTC ETF has seen capital inflow, with the US spot BTC ETF seeing about $159.5 million net inflow yesterday
Personally, I think this wave is a small rebound, not the start of a true upward trend, and it will begin to fall back from 81,000,$NEAR surged 24%, the privacy sector is really heating up this round
Looking at NEAR's big bullish candle today, it's easy to get excited just by the price, but when you compare it with $ZEC, the feeling is completely different.
This market cap is different from ZEC's, it’s playable!!!
$ZEC recently surged to around $1500, privacy coins are becoming one of the strongest narratives in the market. Meanwhile, NEAR has jumped from $2.34 on September 15 to around $3.5, rising over 45% in just a few days, clearly no longer following BTC.
One notable point is that NEAR is not just riding the privacy trend. Confidential TVL has already surpassed $70M, and privacy is directly integrated into cross-chain trading and Perps; even a whale bought about 6600 ZEC through NEAR Intents, and the privacy-related ZEC routing volume via NEAR Intents in the past 30 days reached about $128M.
This round can be said to have ZEC responsible for heating up “privacy,” while NEAR starts to capture the valuation of “privacy infrastructure.”
To be clear, I prefer NEAR’s token structure — unlike ZEC, which easily makes retail investors worry about high concentration and repeated manipulation by a few funds. About 98% of NEAR is already unlocked, and the 24H trading volume once approached $1.8 billion, showing a completely different level of capital absorption capacity. The news is all noise, impossible to rely on. Directly analyze G's order book. Current price is 0.00944, this position is very delicate. After a sharp drop earlier, it consolidated sideways with volume shrinking to a minimum, and selling pressure basically exhausted. But don't rush to bottom-fish; the 4-hour moving averages are still in a bearish alignment, and above 0.0096 there is dense trapped volume, so anyone who rebounds to this level will likely sell. The short-term support below is 0.0092, and if broken, then 0.0088. Funding rates are close to zero, both bulls and bears are watching, the window for a trend change is approaching.
Just replaced a sound-activated light in corridor 3, it lights up then goes off, just like this market.
My judgment: first watch for a rebound recovery, but the height is limited. Entry zone is 0.0093 to 0.0094 in batches, stop loss at 0.0091, exit immediately if broken. First take-profit target is 0.0098, strong resistance at 0.0102. Only consider chasing longs if volume breaks above 0.0102. Conversely, if 0.0092 support fails, reverse to short with a target of 0.0088. Contract leverage should not exceed 5x; for such low liquidity assets, spikes can be deadly.
Now just wait, wait for it to choose its own direction. Don't guess, the order book will tell you.
$XAU
#黄仁勋：英伟达明年芯片销量将翻倍
@OKX星球 Hackers targeting DeBot—I actually have some respect for these people.
What was the usual method for stealing coins before? Find a contract vulnerability, drain it all at once, and run.
Now? APT attacks, slowly infiltrating without leaving traces, not even touching the funds.
This isn’t just theft; it’s reconnaissance in advance.
DeBot’s response was pretty quick too: fund isolation, pausing private key operations, and engaging SlowMist for auditing.
But don’t overlook one detail: no money lost doesn’t mean they didn’t get in.
Private keys are still at risk, which means the door might still be open.
From the opponent’s perspective, the ones who should really be worried aren’t DeBot users, but those small platforms who think they’re "not being targeted."
Big exchanges getting attacked is news; small ones getting attacked is an accident.
Now it’s up to the audit results. If SlowMist uncovers more, this might just be the beginning.
Who do you think will be the next to be targeted by an APT?
#AI安全治理细化，算力预期再受关注 $APT If you were sitting on your hands during that range bound chop, this is the exact momentum shift the market was waiting for. Pushing past $80k isn't just a psychological win—it's a clear signal that spot buyers quietly absorbed the bad news and over-leveraged shorts just got squeezed.#BTC #ETH
BTC surged $2000 in forty minutes, retesting 80000.
In the past 12 hours, shorts worth $175 million were liquidated, with $187 million liquidated across the entire network in just the last hour alone, of which short positions accounted for $178 million, and BTC contributed $119 million.
This move is a classic short squeeze. As the price rises, short sellers are forced to close positions, buying pushes the price higher, accelerating the cycle.
But note, the fuel for this squeeze is short positions, not new capital entering the market. There is still a lot of short liquidity around 78000 waiting to be swept, but after that, if spot buying doesn't follow, the rebound may stall.
First, let's see if 80000 can hold.Let's take a look at the Ethereum section.
The current price is about 2,560, similarly returning from the low point to the upper part of the range, but still within the established operating range. It moves in correlation with the overall market and is not considered an independent trend.
The levels remain the same. Long positions can be planned around 2,450 with a stop loss at 2,300; short positions can be considered around 2,600, with a stop loss at 2,700 and take profit around 2,500. The current price has not yet reached the short position zone; bearish bias is possible, but if the level is not reached, do not chase aggressively.
If this rebound can lock in floating profits, do so, but it does not mean the direction has turned bullish. Long positions that have not broken 2,300 can be managed according to the original rules; new positions should wait for a clearer level, set the stop loss first before entering.
In the short term, continue to follow the range discipline: execute when the level is reached, exit when stop loss is hit, and do not add positions emotionally.