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天才少年糯米
$BTC 、$ETH 多头借币很挤，但别把借币比当暴跌倒计时
凌晨那组数据里，BTC做多借币1864.85 BTC，做空仅50.9 BTC，约36.6:1；ETH做多借币1.76万ETH，做空663.81 ETH，约26.5:1。多头在借币通道里确实很挤。
但借币只是加杠杆的一种方式，空头可以直接开永续、开期权，不一定走借币。所以“空头借币少”不等于“空头没仓位”，更不等于全市场多空比就是几十比一。
BTC、ETH真正该盯的是资金费率、未平仓量和关键支撑位。借币比只能说明多头拥挤，拥挤是风险，但不是 timing 信号。慌之前，先搞清它测的是什么。
仅数据复盘，不构成投资建议。#BTC现货ETF年内累计净流出约4.16亿美元
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