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Kshsb
Kshsb
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Lido 这个项目,我一直觉得它在 DeFi 里的位置非常特殊。 它不是交易所,不是借贷协议,但它抓住的是 ETH 最核心的一条线:质押收益。只要 ETH 继续往“储备资产”这个方向走,Staking 就会越来越重要,而 Lido 的位置也会越来越关键。 但我对它的判断并不是单纯看好。因为它越强,说明市场对 ETH Staking 的依赖越高;而依赖越高,关于集中度和风险的讨论也会越多。 所以在我看来,Lido 是 DeFi 里很典型的一类项目:它不是最热闹的,但它卡住的是底层入口。 #30年期美债,顶部还是新起点? $BTC
Kshsb
Kshsb
The crypto world always claims to be the king of volatility, but now it has to give up the throne, hahaha. The one who snatched this throne is the South Korean stock market. The numbers are scary. VKOSPI, which is the panic index of the South Korean stock market, hit a record high of 97.99 this year, the highest since statistics began in 2009. And it wasn’t set on a crash day, but on a day when the market surged over 8%, indicating that this market is afraid of both rising and falling — a double-sided panic. In contrast, the crypto market’s own volatility indicator DVOL, which last Friday experienced what’s called the most intense jump in recent years, only surged from 35 to 65 and has now fallen back to 43, not even close to the current level of the South Korean stock market. A supposedly stable traditional stock market’s volatility has outdone the wildest casino — that in itself is absurd. The reason is simple and blunt. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix together account for more than 53% of the entire KOSPI market cap, meaning the lifeblood of the entire South Korean stock index is held by just these two memory chip stocks. At the end of May this year, the exchange also lifted restrictions on leveraged ETFs for single stocks, allowing retail investors to directly leverage and bet on these two stocks. This made an already extremely concentrated index even more amplified by leverage, and the number of circuit breakers triggered in the first half of this year set a new historical record. So my conclusion is, don’t blindly believe that traditional stock markets are naturally more stable than cryptocurrencies. When concentration and leverage stack together, even the suit-and-tie exchanges can produce crazier moves than the crypto world. Regulators are now discussing cutting leverage ratios in half, which is a temporary fix. As long as that 53% concentration remains, this drama will inevitably repeat itself. $BTC $SKHYNIX #30年期美债,顶部还是新起点? #美日确认联合购汇

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