
#TrumpToutsCPIWin
About TrumpToutsCPIWin
The White House's inflation framing stands in blunt contrast to Fed caution. On July 18, Trump said June inflation brought good news and the US is entering a golden age, after CPI and PPI both came in below expectations. But Fed voices did not follow. Dallas Fed's Logan became the first official under Warsh to publicly call for a hike July 17, and Vice Chair Jefferson said a hike is worth weighing if inflation stays hot. Markets still price 87.7% odds of no July move. PCE and the FOMC test it.
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🚨 BREAKING: □□ U.S. inflation has cooled to 3.5%, coming in below market expectations.
A softer CPI reading could ease pressure on the Federal Reserve and strengthen expectations for a more accommodative monetary policy ahead.
📈 Historically, lower-than-expected inflation has been a positive catalyst for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
But here's the real question:
🔥 Will BTC finally break to a new ATH, or is this just another "buy the rumor, sell the news" setup?
What's your move after the CPI release?
🟢 Long BTC
🔴 Short BTC
⚪ Staying on the sidelines
Drop your prediction below! 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CPI #Inflation #Fed #OKX #OKXOrbit
The producer side just confirmed what consumers saw a day earlier.
June PPI came in at 5.5% year over year, below the roughly 6.2% markets were bracing for, and fell 0.3% on the month. After yesterday's CPI, that makes it two straight days of data landing on the dovish side.
The single most important line is the one most people skipped: core PPI, stripping out food, energy and trade services, rose just 0.1% on the month, down from a hot 0.8% in May, with the annual rate at 5.1%. Producer prices feed directly into the Fed's preferred PCE gauge due at the end of July, so a soft PPI upstream usually points to a soft PCE downstream. This is a preview of the number the Fed actually watches.
The bigger picture is the trend, not one print:
· Headline PPI cooled to 5.5% from 6.5% in May, a real step down
· Core came in at a mild 0.1% MoM after months of pressure
· Energy did the heavy lifting again, with producer-level gasoline down 12% on the month
Crypto kept the CPI momentum going. Bitcoin pushed past $64,000 and toward $65,000, short liquidations stacked up over $130M in an hour, and the odds of a July hike on CME futures collapsed into the low teens. The July 29 hike that spooked the market a week ago now looks close to priced out.
The catch is the same one hanging over everything. Officials still are not convinced. Waller wants proof the trend holds, not one or two prints, and the oil truce that helped cool prices is fragile. Two dovish data days do not undo a hawkish Fed.
If PCE at month end comes in soft too, three for three, does that change your positioning into August, or do you need to see the Fed actually pause first?
#PPICoolsTo5.5%
📡 Macro Update: Bitcoin Reacts to Cooling Inflation 🚀
#Bitcoin climbed above $64K after a softer-than-expected CPI report reduced expectations for further Fed tightening. 📈$BTC
🟢 Lower inflation has strengthened hopes that monetary policy could become more supportive for risk assets, boosting sentiment across the crypto market.$ETH
⚠️ However, optimism alone doesn't guarantee a lasting trend. Markets often move ahead of actual policy decisions, and volatility can remain elevated until there's greater clarity from the Federal Reserve.
🧠 For now, price action appears to be driven by expectations as much as fundamentals. Whether this develops into a sustained uptrend or proves to be a short-term relief rally will depend on upcoming economic data and policy decisions.$LAB
📌 Stay disciplined, manage risk, and always do your own research.
#USJuneCPICoolsTo3.5 #AIHardwareVsSoftware

🚨 THE MARKET GOT HOODWINKED IN 4 HOURS 🚨
Yesterday morning:
CPI comes in ICE COLD → $BTC $64.5K, $ETH $1.89K
CT: "Rate cuts are back! Bull run confirmed!"
Yesterday afternoon:
Governor Waller opens his mouth.
"One good CPI report doesn't mean we won"
"Don't get ahead of yourselves"
And just like that... the party was over.
This is why we can't have nice things.
One report ≠ new trend.
One speech ≠ rate cuts tomorrow.
#DailyOrbit
ETH's outperformance today is not noise. When Robinhood-driven retail demand aligns with a softer CPI print, capital rotates into beta faster than most positioning models suggest. The macro read: 3.5% CPI removes the near-term hike threat without triggering immediate cuts, which is arguably the cleanest setup for risk assets short of an outright pivot. BTC is catching a bid, but ETH leading tells you something about where the conviction is sitting right now.
The regulatory picture complicates the picture, but not fatally. CLARITY Act stalling is a real overhang, and markets are right to price that in. The US-UK stablecoin coordination, though, signals that the direction of travel is settling even if the timetable is not. Policy convergence at the macro level tends to get priced before the legislation clears. That gap is where the opportunity usually lives.
DYOR.
#OKXOrbit
The inflation data came in significantly cooler than expected 📉, with the headline CPI posting a sharp decline of -0.4% versus the consensus forecast of -0.1% 📊.
- All three key inflation metrics came in below expectations 📉.
- Core CPI (excluding food and energy) also undershot forecasts 🔻.
- This suggests that inflation is easing faster than the market had anticipated 📉.
Market Impact:
- Strongly bullish 🚀 for risk assets:
- Crypto: Likely to see a positive short-term reaction. The softer inflation data increases expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner, improving liquidity conditions and supporting capital flows into $BTC and altcoins 📈.
- U.S. stocks: Expected to move higher 🆙.
- $XAU : Likely to rise 🆙.
- U.S. Dollar (USD): Expected to weaken 📉.
Conclusion:
This is a dovish CPI report, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in upcoming meetings, particularly following the FOMC meeting at the end of July.
#USCPICoolsTo3.5%

🚨 Market Update: 🇺🇸 U.S. inflation has eased to 3.5%, coming in lower than analysts had expected.
A weaker-than-forecast CPI reading may reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve, increasing optimism that future monetary policy could become more supportive.
📈 In the past, lower inflation data has often boosted sentiment for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Now the big question is:
🔥 Will BTC use this momentum to push toward a new all-time high, or will traders "sell the news" after the initial reaction?
💭 What's your strategy following the CPI report?
🟢 Going Long on BTC
🔴 Going Short on BTC
⚪ Waiting for confirmation
Share your prediction in the comments! 👇
#USJuneCPICoolsTo3.5
#SpainBeatsFrance2-0
#CLARITYActInDoubt

CPI: 3.5% vs 3.8% EXPECTED 💀
Inflation: Cooling
Fed: Breathing room
$BTC BTC + Risk: Bullish
The print we needed.
#USJuneCPICoolsTo3.5
#AIHardwareVsSoftware
#SpainBeatsFrance2-0

BULLISH CPI DATA IS OUT: BIGGEST INFLATION DROP SINCE 2020!
Massive green candles today. Let me break down what happened and what it means for $BTC in the next 6-12 months 👇
TODAY'S NUMBERS (June CPI):
✅ Headline CPI: 3.5% vs 3.8% expected (was 4.2% in May!)
✅ Monthly CPI: -0.4%, biggest monthly DECLINE since May 2020
✅ Core CPI: 2.6% vs 2.8% expected
✅ Core Monthly: 0.0%, completely FLAT
Inflation didn't just cool. It CRASHED.
IMMEDIATE MARKET REACTION:
✅ BTC pumped from ~$62K → $64,150+
✅ July rate hike odds COLLAPSED: ~50% → ~16%
✅ Stock futures green, yields down, dollar weaker
Just yesterday markets were pricing a possible Fed HIKE at the July 28-29 meeting. That fear is now almost dead. This is why we pumped. 🚀
WHAT IT MEANS FOR NEXT 6-12 MONTHS:
1️⃣ Fed pause = liquidity relief. Rates sitting at 3.50%-3.75%. If inflation keeps falling, hike risk disappears and CUT talk returns, historically the most bullish macro setup for BTC.
2️⃣ Falling inflation + no hikes = risk-on. Money rotates back into the risk curve. BTC and majors benefit first, alts follow later.
3️⃣ Key levels: BTC reclaiming and HOLDING $64K flips structure bullish → next resistance $66K → $68.7K. Lose $61.7K and $60K is the support to defend.
BUT STAY SHARP — ONE BIG WARNING:
This CPI measured JUNE, when gas prices dropped ~10%. Right now the Hormuz blockade is BACK and oil is above $85. That means July CPI (August print) could bounce back UP. Don't assume inflation is defeated after one report. Core is cooling, but energy is a live risk.
BIG DATA STILL PENDING (mark your calendar):
➡️ FOMC Meeting — July 28-29 → Fed's rate decision. Pause = bullish confirmation.
➡️ Fed Chair Warsh Testimony — today + tomorrow → his tone can move markets more than the data.
➡️ July CPI — mid-August → THE most important one. It captures the oil spike. Hot print = hike fears return.
➡️ PCE Inflation (monthly) → Fed's preferred gauge, always watched.
➡️ Jobs Report (NFP, monthly) → weak labor market = faster Fed easing = bullish BTC.
CryptoPatel Note:
Today's data is the friendliest macro print of the year. Short-term bias: bullish while above $61.7K. Medium-term: the real battle is August CPI + oil prices. If inflation keeps trending down over the next 2-3 prints, the 6-12 month setup for BTC turns VERY strong.
Patience + levels + risk management. 💪
🟢 US CPI for June rose 3.5%, coming in below market expectations**, signaling that inflation is continuing to cool after remaining elevated for months.
This is a positive sign for risk assets, as the pressure on the Fed to maintain a tight monetary policy could ease if this trend persists in the coming months.
📈 For the cryptocurrency market, CPI data that is "cooler" than forecast typically boosts investor sentiment, fostering hopes that fresh capital will flow back into Bitcoin and altcoins. However, a single positive report is not enough to confirm an imminent policy shift by the Fed, as the central bank will continue to monitor key economic data before making a decision.
🔥 The market may react strongly in the short term, but the sustainability of the trend depends on upcoming inflation and employment data. Please manage your risk and keep a close watch on market movements.
$BTC #USJuneCPICoolsTo3.5