👉 Are DeFi options on @Base outperforming Ethereum?
New quantitative research analyzes the price, implied volatility, and bearish/bullish strategies across Ethereum and Base revealing surprising insights:
💧 ETH/USDC Pool Price
• Minute-level analysis shows frequent dislocations between Base and Ethereum prices and deviations of up to $150 USDC in either direction.
• These deviations were transient and often clustered during volatility events.
• Likely drivers: sequencer delays, cross-chain latency, and JIT liquidity provisioning on Base.
⇒ These dislocations present short-lived arbitrage opportunities for high-frequency or cross-chain traders.
🌡️ Implied Volatility (IV) Findings
• Ethereum exhibited sharper IV spikes, particularly mid-2024 — consistent with deeper liquidity and speculative flows.
• Base showed a slightly higher baseline IV but with smoother and more stable behavior.
• The IV spread (Base – Ethereum) hovered slightly above zero on average, confirming Base tends to price in more persistent tail risk.
• Large negative IV spreads (–100 IV pts) appeared during Ethereum IV surges—ideal windows for cross-chain vol trades.
⇒ Trading edge: short Ethereum vol during spikes, long Base vol during low-IV periods.
🧠 Strategy Results
• Short Calls: Outperformed with +17.65% on Base and +14.76% on Ethereum; benefited from high IV and low realized volatility.
• Long Calls: Underperformed with –18.06% on Base and –14.76% on Ethereum; premium drag outweighed limited upside.
• Long Puts: Best-performing strategy; returned +17.58% on Ethereum vs. +13.42% on Base despite identical payoffs—reflecting Ethereum’s cheaper IV.
• Short Puts: Negative returns (–17.58% ETH, –13.42% Base), but Base’s higher premia helped cushion downside.
#DeFi #Ethereum #Base #QuantResearch #CryptoOptions #Panoptic #IV #Volatility #Arbitrage




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