Last night, I was watching a video of Lin talking about the current U.S. tariff policy and economic issues...... Suddenly find that it seems that the current situation in the United States has fallen into some kind of dead loop? Trump's goal is to reduce government debt and, incidentally, to suppress China and depreciate the dollar to bring manufacturing back to work. But after doing a lot of things, there is no obvious relief of government debt, but it continues to delay the date of the Fed's interest rate cut... It seems that the only way to solve this problem now is for the United States to go through a recession... Because as soon as a recession happens, then the employment data will cool, the demand for goods will fall, and the credit of the dollar will suffer... In this way, the Federal Reserve can rest assured that the US dollar can also depreciate because of the credit crisis, driving the manufacturing industry back, and what needs to be sacrificed may be the long-term hegemony of US stocks or the dollar. To put it bluntly, it is impossible for the United States to choose between a financial empire and a manufacturing empire, and if you want to return to a manufacturing power, you must give up the status of a financial power... It depends on whether Trump is willing to bear this price?